⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
PIT
@ 1:15p
STL
Busch Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.91×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
mild air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.087
Temp
66.5°F
Wind
8.1 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 69 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 12 0.280 89.0 13.3% 26.5% 401 13.2% 18.2% 27.2% 36
2 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 63 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 18 0.220 96.0 17.6% 30.4% 410 22.0% 9.1% 14.9% 29
3 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 60 0.114 89.1 8.7% 12.0% 408 9.3% 10.0% 11.0% 18
4 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 84 0.138 91.0 8.0% 11.8% 415 9.5% 0.0% 7.0% 41
5 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 85 0.150 85.8 2.8% 16.7% 385 5.6% 11.1% 8.4% 28
6 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 91 0.139 87.9 8.3% 20.0% 401 3.4% 9.1% 7.8% 37
7 Henry Davis Henry Davis 29 ⚪ D · · 93 0.105 90.3 7.9% 23.1% 400 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 15
8 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 9 ⚪ D · · 115 0.028 82.5 · 28.6% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 6
9 Jared Triolo Jared Triolo 8 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 116 0.049 85.3 2.3% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 21
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 66 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 14 0.281 94.5 16.7% 32.3% 406 20.6% 25.0% 23.1% 38
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 45 0.175 91.5 11.3% 18.2% 408 15.9% 18.2% 12.4% 37
3 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 53 0.135 89.5 10.3% 15.2% 409 9.3% 9.1% 8.2% 24
4 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 62 0.177 89.9 7.9% 21.9% 394 10.3% 18.2% 15.1% 33
5 Iván Herrera Iván Herrera 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 92 0.145 89.3 6.4% 16.7% 402 12.5% 20.0% 6.7% 44
6 Pedro Pagés Pedro Pagés 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 99 0.132 86.2 6.5% 22.2% 403 8.3% 10.0% 7.4% 18
7 José Fermín José Fermín 22 ⚪ D · · 105 0.136 86.4 · 0.0% 370 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 12
8 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 19 ⚪ D · · 109 0.098 86.7 3.3% 6.7% 373 2.3% 0.0% 5.0% 33
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 10 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 114 0.077 87.2 1.1% 11.1% 406 2.2% 8.3% 7.4% 21
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