⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
PIT
@ 7:45p
STL
Busch Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.92×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.920
Temp
59.1°F
Wind
10.4 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 68 🔵 C+ +700 · 28 0.280 89.0 13.3% 29.0% 401 13.5% 27.3% 31.2% 35
2 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 63 🔵 C+ +850 🌧️ COOL 34 0.220 96.0 17.6% 30.4% 410 22.5% 9.1% 16.5% 29
3 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 45 ⚪ D · · 108 0.175 90.3 7.1% 19.4% 392 14.8% 22.2% 15.4% 30
4 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 37 ⚪ D +900 · 156 0.138 91.0 8.0% 11.8% 415 9.8% 0.0% 7.8% 40
5 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 37 ⚪ D · · 157 0.114 89.1 8.7% 12.0% 408 9.5% 10.0% 13.1% 22
6 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 176 0.150 85.8 2.8% 14.8% 385 2.9% 0.0% 9.0% 27
7 Henry Davis Henry Davis 30 ⚪ D · · 197 0.105 90.3 7.9% 23.1% 400 0.0% 0.0% 9.0% 17
8 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 198 0.139 87.9 8.3% 20.0% 401 3.6% 9.1% 9.3% 34
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 259 0.049 87.0 1.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 32
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 66 🔵 C+ +900 ❄ COLD 30 0.281 94.5 16.7% 33.3% 406 21.2% 25.0% 20.2% 38
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 103 0.175 91.5 11.3% 15.6% 408 16.3% 18.2% 10.2% 38
3 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 42 ⚪ D +650 🌤️ WARM 120 0.135 89.5 10.3% 16.7% 409 9.5% 9.1% 7.5% 23
4 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 145 0.177 89.9 7.9% 19.4% 394 10.7% 18.2% 13.2% 32
5 Nathan Church Nathan Church 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 191 0.158 85.9 9.7% 25.0% 387 9.7% 0.0% 9.8% 34
6 Pedro Pagés Pedro Pagés 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 206 0.132 86.2 6.5% 23.5% 403 8.7% 10.0% 5.8% 20
7 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 25 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 225 0.145 89.3 6.4% 17.6% 402 6.9% 0.0% 5.8% 42
8 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 20 ⚪ D · · 241 0.098 86.7 3.3% 6.7% 373 2.4% 0.0% 4.3% 34
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 10 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 260 0.077 87.2 1.1% 12.5% 406 2.3% 8.3% 6.7% 21
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