PIT
@
7:45p
STL
Park Factor
0.92×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.920
Temp
59.1°F
Wind
10.4 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Michael McGreevy
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 68 | 🔵 C+ | +700 | · | 28 | 0.280 | 89.0 | 13.3% | 29.0% | 401 | 13.5% | 27.3% | 31.2% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 34 | 0.220 | 96.0 | 17.6% | 30.4% | 410 | 22.5% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 108 | 0.175 | 90.3 | 7.1% | 19.4% | 392 | 14.8% | 22.2% | 15.4% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 37 | ⚪ D | +900 | · | 156 | 0.138 | 91.0 | 8.0% | 11.8% | 415 | 9.8% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 40 |
| 5 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 157 | 0.114 | 89.1 | 8.7% | 12.0% | 408 | 9.5% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 176 | 0.150 | 85.8 | 2.8% | 14.8% | 385 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Henry Davis | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 197 | 0.105 | 90.3 | 7.9% | 23.1% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 198 | 0.139 | 87.9 | 8.3% | 20.0% | 401 | 3.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 11 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 259 | 0.049 | 87.0 | 1.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 32 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +900 | ❄ COLD | 30 | 0.281 | 94.5 | 16.7% | 33.3% | 406 | 21.2% | 25.0% | 20.2% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 103 | 0.175 | 91.5 | 11.3% | 15.6% | 408 | 16.3% | 18.2% | 10.2% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 42 | ⚪ D | +650 | 🌤️ WARM | 120 | 0.135 | 89.5 | 10.3% | 16.7% | 409 | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
JJ Wetherholt | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 145 | 0.177 | 89.9 | 7.9% | 19.4% | 394 | 10.7% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Nathan Church ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 191 | 0.158 | 85.9 | 9.7% | 25.0% | 387 | 9.7% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Pedro Pagés ⚡ | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 206 | 0.132 | 86.2 | 6.5% | 23.5% | 403 | 8.7% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 20 |
| 7 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 25 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 225 | 0.145 | 89.3 | 6.4% | 17.6% | 402 | 6.9% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 42 |
| 8 |
|
Masyn Winn | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 241 | 0.098 | 86.7 | 3.3% | 6.7% | 373 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 4.3% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Scott II | 10 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 260 | 0.077 | 87.2 | 1.1% | 12.5% | 406 | 2.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 21 |