⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
PIT
@ 7:45p
STL
Busch Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.866
Temp
66.4°F
Wind
3.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 72 🟡 B +900 · 15 0.280 88.9 13.7% 30.0% 401 13.9% 27.3% 41.0% 32
2 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 67 🔵 C+ +950 🌧️ COOL 23 0.220 96.0 17.9% 57.1% 410 23.1% 9.1% 27.3% 30
3 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 109 0.114 89.3 8.8% 22.2% 408 9.8% 10.0% 12.5% 23
4 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 38 ⚪ D · · 136 0.139 87.9 8.5% 0.0% 401 3.7% 9.1% 5.0% 33
5 Henry Davis Henry Davis 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 149 0.105 90.8 8.1% 13.3% 400 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 15
6 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 152 0.138 90.8 7.4% 20.0% 415 10.0% 0.0% 7.4% 39
7 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 249 0.049 87.2 1.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 31
8 Jared Triolo Jared Triolo 11 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 253 0.049 86.1 2.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 20
9 Jhostynxon Garcia Jhostynxon Garcia 9 ⚪ D +950 · 256 · · · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 0
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 66 🔵 C+ +850 ❄ COLD 24 0.281 94.7 17.2% 33.3% 406 21.9% 25.0% 18.8% 34
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 42 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 111 0.175 91.4 10.9% 15.6% 408 14.3% 9.1% 9.5% 35
3 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 37 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 139 0.135 89.3 9.6% 16.7% 403 7.3% 0.0% 7.5% 20
4 Nathan Church Nathan Church 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 176 0.158 86.3 10.0% 25.0% 387 10.0% 0.0% 9.7% 31
5 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 31 ⚪ D +800 ❄ COLD 184 0.177 89.6 7.3% 19.4% 392 7.4% 9.1% 10.4% 29
6 Pedro Pagés Pedro Pagés 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 201 0.132 86.0 6.7% 23.5% 403 9.1% 10.0% 5.7% 18
7 Iván Herrera Iván Herrera 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 218 0.145 89.2 5.8% 17.6% 400 6.7% 0.0% 5.1% 39
8 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 9 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 257 0.077 87.2 1.2% 12.5% 406 2.3% 8.3% 7.5% 18
9 César Prieto César Prieto 3 ⚪ D · · 261 · · · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.9% 5
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