PIT
@
7:45p
STL
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.866
Temp
66.4°F
Wind
3.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 72 | 🟡 B | +900 | · | 15 | 0.280 | 88.9 | 13.7% | 30.0% | 401 | 13.9% | 27.3% | 41.0% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 23 | 0.220 | 96.0 | 17.9% | 57.1% | 410 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 27.3% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 109 | 0.114 | 89.3 | 8.8% | 22.2% | 408 | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 136 | 0.139 | 87.9 | 8.5% | 0.0% | 401 | 3.7% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Henry Davis | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 149 | 0.105 | 90.8 | 8.1% | 13.3% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 152 | 0.138 | 90.8 | 7.4% | 20.0% | 415 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 249 | 0.049 | 87.2 | 1.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Jared Triolo | 11 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 253 | 0.049 | 86.1 | 2.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Jhostynxon Garcia | 9 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 256 | · | · | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 0 |
Mitch Keller
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +850 | ❄ COLD | 24 | 0.281 | 94.7 | 17.2% | 33.3% | 406 | 21.9% | 25.0% | 18.8% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 42 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 111 | 0.175 | 91.4 | 10.9% | 15.6% | 408 | 14.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 37 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 139 | 0.135 | 89.3 | 9.6% | 16.7% | 403 | 7.3% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 20 |
| 4 |
|
Nathan Church ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 176 | 0.158 | 86.3 | 10.0% | 25.0% | 387 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
JJ Wetherholt | 31 | ⚪ D | +800 | ❄ COLD | 184 | 0.177 | 89.6 | 7.3% | 19.4% | 392 | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Pedro Pagés ⚡ | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 201 | 0.132 | 86.0 | 6.7% | 23.5% | 403 | 9.1% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Iván Herrera | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 218 | 0.145 | 89.2 | 5.8% | 17.6% | 400 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 39 |
| 8 |
|
Victor Scott II | 9 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 257 | 0.077 | 87.2 | 1.2% | 12.5% | 406 | 2.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 18 |
| 9 |
|
César Prieto | 3 | ⚪ D | · | · | 261 | · | · | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 5 |