LongDong™ — PIT @ MIL

PIT

@ 7:40p

MIL

American Family Field · 18 ranked batters

Park Factor

1.06×

Weather Mod

-2.0%

cold air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof

Combined

0.849

Temp

45°F

Wind

11.5 mph

slight_out

Roof

retractable

Brandon Woodruff RHP

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Oneil Cruz	93	🔥 A+	·	🌤️ WARM	5	0.271	97.3	23.5%	44.4%	415	36.8%	44.4%	35.0%	35
2	Brandon Lowe	71	🟡 B	·	🌤️ WARM	40	0.292	86.5	12.3%	36.8%	390	6.2%	0.0%	33.1%	34
3	Ryan O'Hearn	55	🟠 C	·	·	84	0.191	90.6	8.6%	21.1%	385	14.3%	20.0%	12.8%	32
4	Marcell Ozuna	47	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	117	0.094	88.5	9.8%	11.1%	405	9.1%	20.0%	8.5%	36
5	Bryan Reynolds	46	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	121	0.138	91.5	9.4%	20.0%	405	15.8%	12.5%	9.0%	30
6	Spencer Horwitz	39	⚪ D	·	🔥 HOT	153	0.123	86.3	1.9%	16.7%	380	0.0%	0.0%	11.0%	30
7	Konnor Griffin	38	⚪ D	·	·	158	0.100	86.6	10.2%	9.1%	386	0.0%	0.0%	9.3%	0
8	Henry Davis	20	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	232	0.058	88.2	4.8%	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	6.7%	19
9	Nick Gonzales	16	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	241	0.037	87.3	1.5%	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	6.5%	31

Paul Skenes RHP

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Brice Turang	62	🔵 C+	·	🌤️ WARM	58	0.223	92.8	9.5%	23.5%	401	13.0%	18.2%	26.8%	33
2	Jake Bauers	60	🔵 C+	·	·	66	0.215	93.2	9.7%	29.4%	395	25.0%	25.0%	20.6%	32
3	Garrett Mitchell	41	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	143	0.147	93.0	13.3%	25.0%	420	0.0%	0.0%	9.7%	13
4	William Contreras	37	⚪ D	·	·	162	0.133	90.6	7.7%	11.8%	397	4.5%	0.0%	8.1%	44
5	Luis Rengifo	28	⚪ D	·	·	208	0.086	87.0	6.5%	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	6.7%	30
6	Tyler Black	28	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	211	0.104	86.8	4.3%	14.3%	391	0.0%	0.0%	10.2%	2
7	Sal Frelick	17	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	239	0.064	85.2	1.5%	8.3%	407	5.0%	0.0%	7.6%	34
8	Brandon Lockridge	11	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	247	0.046	85.3	2.2%	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	7.3%	21
9	David Hamilton ⚡	7	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	251	0.000	84.2	2.0%	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	9.0%	24