PHI
@
6:45p
BOS
Park Factor
0.85×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.766
Temp
55.2°F
Wind
9.2 mph
cross
Roof
open
Sonny Gray
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 58 | 🟠 C | +245 | 🌤️ WARM | 10 | 0.315 | 92.9 | · | 48.1% | 403 | 29.7% | 41.7% | 29.4% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 44 | ⚪ D | +425 | · | 47 | 0.240 | 88.7 | · | 31.8% | 407 | 21.6% | 25.0% | 24.9% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Adolis García | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 169 | 0.155 | 92.8 | · | 10.5% | 388 | 3.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Bryson Stott | 26 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌤️ WARM | 171 | 0.050 | 89.7 | · | 7.1% | 399 | 8.8% | 25.0% | 8.4% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 23 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 194 | 0.170 | 90.2 | · | 15.4% | 398 | 5.7% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Trea Turner | 21 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 207 | 0.119 | 89.7 | · | 11.5% | 383 | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 40 |
| 7 | J.T. Realmuto | 17 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 223 | 0.093 | 88.3 | · | 7.1% | 401 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 29 | |
| 8 |
|
Alec Bohm | 13 | ⚪ D | +900 | 🌧️ COOL | 244 | 0.059 | 89.1 | · | 6.7% | 365 | 5.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Justin Crawford | 11 | ⚪ D | +900 | ❄ COLD | 249 | 0.085 | 87.6 | · | 7.1% | 361 | 3.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 28 |
Andrew Painter
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 36 | ⚪ D | +400 | 🌧️ COOL | 94 | 0.224 | 91.2 | · | 26.7% | 409 | 18.9% | 16.7% | 30.7% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 30 | ⚪ D | +400 | · | 132 | 0.175 | 90.3 | · | 15.8% | 391 | 16.2% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Jarren Duran | 19 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 215 | 0.080 | 90.1 | · | 25.0% | 397 | 8.1% | 25.0% | 12.1% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 18 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 220 | 0.116 | 86.7 | · | 16.7% | 359 | 8.3% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 224 | 0.125 | 91.8 | · | 11.8% | 386 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 12 |
| 6 |
|
Roman Anthony | 13 | ⚪ D | · | · | 241 | 0.084 | 92.3 | · | 5.9% | 391 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 15 |
| 7 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 12 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 245 | 0.120 | 87.5 | · | 0.0% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Trevor Story | 12 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 246 | 0.098 | 89.3 | · | 12.5% | 407 | 5.4% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 7 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 255 | 0.091 | 85.3 | · | 9.1% | 386 | 2.7% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 30 |