⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
PHI
@ 6:45p
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.85×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.766
Temp
55.2°F
Wind
9.2 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 58 🟠 C +245 🌤️ WARM 10 0.315 92.9 · 48.1% 403 29.7% 41.7% 29.4% 33
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 44 ⚪ D +425 · 47 0.240 88.7 · 31.8% 407 21.6% 25.0% 24.9% 35
3 Adolis García Adolis García 26 ⚪ D · · 169 0.155 92.8 · 10.5% 388 3.7% 8.3% 9.2% 37
4 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 26 ⚪ D +1000 🌤️ WARM 171 0.050 89.7 · 7.1% 399 8.8% 25.0% 8.4% 39
5 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 23 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 194 0.170 90.2 · 15.4% 398 5.7% 0.0% 8.2% 36
6 Trea Turner Trea Turner 21 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 207 0.119 89.7 · 11.5% 383 10.8% 8.3% 7.8% 40
7 J.T. Realmuto 17 ⚪ D +850 · 223 0.093 88.3 · 7.1% 401 3.1% 0.0% 7.4% 29
8 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 13 ⚪ D +900 🌧️ COOL 244 0.059 89.1 · 6.7% 365 5.6% 9.1% 9.2% 32
9 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 11 ⚪ D +900 ❄ COLD 249 0.085 87.6 · 7.1% 361 3.8% 8.3% 5.7% 28
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 36 ⚪ D +400 🌧️ COOL 94 0.224 91.2 · 26.7% 409 18.9% 16.7% 30.7% 23
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 30 ⚪ D +400 · 132 0.175 90.3 · 15.8% 391 16.2% 16.7% 12.3% 29
3 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 19 ⚪ D +525 · 215 0.080 90.1 · 25.0% 397 8.1% 25.0% 12.1% 31
4 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 18 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 220 0.116 86.7 · 16.7% 359 8.3% 16.7% 12.1% 31
5 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 224 0.125 91.8 · 11.8% 386 10.0% 0.0% 8.6% 12
6 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 13 ⚪ D · · 241 0.084 92.3 · 5.9% 391 3.0% 0.0% 5.6% 15
7 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 12 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 245 0.120 87.5 · 0.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 26
8 Trevor Story Trevor Story 12 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 246 0.098 89.3 · 12.5% 407 5.4% 0.0% 8.7% 24
9 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 7 ⚪ D +950 ❄ COLD 255 0.091 85.3 · 9.1% 386 2.7% 0.0% 8.4% 30
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