NYY
@
7:10p
TB
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.990
Wind
0 mph
dome
Steven Matz
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Aaron Judge | 70 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 12 | 0.357 | 95.4 | 12.5% | 29.4% | 408 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 32.1% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Giancarlo Stanton | 55 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 59 | 0.321 | 94.4 | 11.8% | 33.3% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.2% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Austin Wells | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 103 | 0.217 | 90.6 | 8.0% | 14.0% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.6% | 16 |
| 4 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 107 | 0.238 | 89.0 | 9.7% | 20.7% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.5% | 25 | |
| 5 |
|
Amed Rosario | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 136 | 0.160 | 91.2 | 6.2% | 11.8% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.3% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 139 | 0.207 | 88.3 | 6.9% | 11.9% | 386 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
Randal Grichuk | 41 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 157 | 0.173 | 92.4 | 8.6% | 9.7% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 2 |
| 8 |
|
Paul Goldschmidt | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 195 | 0.129 | 90.4 | 7.0% | 6.5% | 388 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 7 |
| 9 |
|
José Caballero | 22 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 240 | 0.111 | 86.0 | 6.1% | 5.7% | 369 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 22 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 24 | 0.271 | 92.4 | 10.8% | 24.5% | 392 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 57 | 0.173 | 93.0 | 10.3% | 14.7% | 398 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 8.5% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Yandy Díaz | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 147 | 0.182 | 93.0 | 8.3% | 18.2% | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Cedric Mullins | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 185 | 0.175 | 88.8 | 7.2% | 10.8% | 384 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Jonny DeLuca | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 198 | 0.123 | 85.6 | 4.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Fortes | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 202 | 0.119 | 87.5 | 6.2% | 7.5% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.1% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Taylor Walls | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 229 | 0.099 | 87.0 | 5.1% | 4.8% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.3% | 8 |
| 8 |
|
Ben Williamson | 19 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 246 | 0.058 | 88.3 | 5.2% | 1.8% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.0% | 26 |
| 9 |
|
Chandler Simpson | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 250 | 0.051 | 84.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 41 |