ATH
@
7:10p
NYM
Park Factor
0.97×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.679
Temp
42.5°F
Wind
5.0 mph
out
Roof
open
Clay Holmes
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shea Langeliers | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 18 | 0.260 | 90.9 | 8.7% | 18.6% | 399 | 40.0% | 40.0% | 25.6% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Nick Kurtz | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 27 | 0.329 | 92.7 | 11.2% | 30.8% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.5% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Max Muncy | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 38 | 0.227 | 91.3 | 9.6% | 16.8% | 400 | 15.0% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 53 |
| 4 |
|
Carlos Cortes | 47 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 111 | 0.234 | 89.8 | 7.9% | 12.9% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.1% | 9 |
| 5 |
|
Tyler Soderstrom | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 144 | 0.198 | 91.6 | 8.8% | 18.9% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
Lawrence Butler | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 186 | 0.170 | 90.5 | 7.9% | 16.3% | 414 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Jeff McNeil | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 214 | 0.168 | 87.2 | 5.9% | 8.5% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 22 |
| 8 |
|
Denzel Clarke | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 224 | 0.142 | 90.0 | 6.8% | 12.0% | 433 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 16 |
| 9 |
|
Jacob Wilson | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 234 | 0.134 | 84.6 | 3.9% | 10.5% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 43 |
J.T. Ginn
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luis Robert Jr. | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 46 | 0.141 | 89.4 | 10.0% | 12.3% | 387 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 16.4% | 25 | |
| 2 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 58 | 0.191 | 93.1 | 10.9% | 17.7% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 27.9% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Carson Benge | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 102 | 0.179 | 88.8 | 9.7% | 13.6% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.6% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Brett Baty | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 116 | 0.181 | 90.7 | 11.2% | 22.5% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.6% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Francisco Lindor | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 123 | 0.199 | 90.5 | 9.3% | 15.0% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.8% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Ronny Mauricio | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 142 | 0.143 | 91.2 | 9.3% | 14.6% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.1% | 1 |
| 7 |
|
Bo Bichette | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 156 | 0.172 | 91.0 | 8.8% | 11.8% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 42 |
| 8 |
|
Marcus Semien | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 188 | 0.134 | 88.3 | 8.1% | 8.5% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Jared Young | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 201 | 0.056 | 84.6 | 11.8% | 3.1% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 13 |