MIN
@
7:07p
TOR
Park Factor
1.10×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.100
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Wallner | 77 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.262 | 91.0 | 10.8% | 19.6% | 406 | 25.0% | 27.3% | 32.0% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Byron Buxton | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 36 | 0.287 | 92.5 | 12.2% | 21.3% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.8% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Josh Bell | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 81 | 0.179 | 90.4 | 10.0% | 15.1% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.5% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Tristan Gray | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 91 | 0.179 | 91.4 | 10.5% | 10.3% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.9% | 12 |
| 5 |
|
Ryan Jeffers | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 115 | 0.131 | 89.3 | 7.3% | 7.0% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Victor Caratini | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 150 | 0.145 | 88.7 | 8.0% | 11.0% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 32 |
| 7 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 191 | 0.143 | 86.2 | 6.6% | 7.7% | 399 | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 39 |
| 8 |
|
Brooks Lee | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 212 | 0.133 | 88.6 | 7.0% | 10.3% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Austin Martin | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 231 | 0.083 | 86.2 | 6.8% | 3.3% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.2% | 17 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
George Springer | 73 | 🟡 B | · | · | 8 | 0.251 | 90.0 | 13.6% | 20.0% | 409 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 20.9% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Daulton Varsho | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 28 | 0.310 | 89.9 | 13.5% | 21.3% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.7% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Jesús Sánchez | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 34 | 0.157 | 91.3 | 11.2% | 11.5% | 408 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 8.8% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Davis Schneider | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 40 | 0.202 | 90.8 | 12.6% | 16.2% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.7% | 9 |
| 5 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 51 | 0.175 | 92.0 | 11.8% | 14.3% | 405 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Brandon Valenzuela | 53 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 69 | 0.221 | 91.1 | 12.1% | 22.0% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.1% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Andrés Giménez | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 154 | 0.103 | 86.3 | 5.9% | 7.6% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 39 |
| 8 |
|
Ernie Clement | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 228 | 0.121 | 86.6 | 5.2% | 4.3% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 46 |