⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
MIN
@ 7:07p
TOR
Rogers Centre · 17 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.10×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.100
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 77 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 4 0.262 91.0 10.8% 19.6% 406 25.0% 27.3% 32.0% 25
2 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 60 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 36 0.287 92.5 12.2% 21.3% 406 0.0% 0.0% 19.8% 30
3 Josh Bell Josh Bell 51 🟠 C · · 81 0.179 90.4 10.0% 15.1% 404 0.0% 0.0% 20.5% 28
4 Tristan Gray Tristan Gray 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 91 0.179 91.4 10.5% 10.3% 387 0.0% 0.0% 16.9% 12
5 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 115 0.131 89.3 7.3% 7.0% 411 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 19
6 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 42 ⚪ D · · 150 0.145 88.7 8.0% 11.0% 387 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 32
7 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 191 0.143 86.2 6.6% 7.7% 399 8.3% 9.1% 6.9% 39
8 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 212 0.133 88.6 7.0% 10.3% 383 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 23
9 Austin Martin Austin Martin 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 231 0.083 86.2 6.8% 3.3% 395 0.0% 0.0% 4.2% 17
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 George Springer George Springer 73 🟡 B · · 8 0.251 90.0 13.6% 20.0% 409 16.7% 16.7% 20.9% 35
2 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 64 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 28 0.310 89.9 13.5% 21.3% 400 0.0% 0.0% 18.7% 32
3 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 62 🔵 C+ · · 34 0.157 91.3 11.2% 11.5% 408 100.0% 100.0% 8.8% 24
4 Davis Schneider Davis Schneider 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 40 0.202 90.8 12.6% 16.2% 394 0.0% 0.0% 22.7% 9
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 57 🟠 C · · 51 0.175 92.0 11.8% 14.3% 405 8.3% 8.3% 10.9% 36
6 Brandon Valenzuela Brandon Valenzuela 53 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 69 0.221 91.1 12.1% 22.0% 400 0.0% 0.0% 17.1% 27
7 Andrés Giménez Andrés Giménez 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 154 0.103 86.3 5.9% 7.6% 396 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 39
8 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 228 0.121 86.6 5.2% 4.3% 388 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 46
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