NYY
@
6:10p
BOS
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.577
Temp
49.1°F
Wind
9.2 mph
in
Roof
open
Payton Tolle
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Aaron Judge ⚡ | 81 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 6 | 0.322 | 92.2 | 24.6% | 47.4% | 407 | 25.0% | 27.3% | 30.0% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Ben Rice ⚡ | 81 | 🟢 A | · | · | 7 | 0.431 | 95.5 | 21.6% | 60.0% | 391 | 31.6% | 40.0% | 31.5% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Giancarlo Stanton | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 24 | 0.166 | 94.1 | 18.0% | 17.6% | 410 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 13.2% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Amed Rosario | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 40 | 0.289 | 91.3 | 13.3% | 30.8% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.5% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Randal Grichuk | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 75 | 0.129 | 89.7 | 18.2% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 18 |
| 6 |
|
Trent Grisham | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 83 | 0.162 | 91.2 | 10.3% | 15.0% | 372 | 5.3% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 29 |
| 7 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 130 | 0.124 | 88.6 | 5.1% | 13.3% | 363 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 28 | |
| 8 |
|
José Caballero ⚡ | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 133 | 0.125 | 84.5 | 3.1% | 15.4% | 354 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 38 |
| 9 |
|
Austin Wells | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 144 | 0.066 | 91.5 | 6.3% | 6.2% | 396 | 5.6% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 26 |
Cam Schlittler
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 56 | 0.159 | 91.5 | 14.3% | 26.7% | 398 | 15.0% | 20.0% | 11.8% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 65 | 0.200 | 90.4 | 12.0% | 17.4% | 380 | 15.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Jarren Duran | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 102 | 0.098 | 89.6 | 12.1% | 9.1% | 424 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 113 | 0.087 | 93.2 | 7.3% | 8.3% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Marcelo Mayer ⚡ | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 118 | 0.143 | 87.9 | 11.8% | 6.2% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Trevor Story | 24 | ⚪ D | · | · | 129 | 0.105 | 89.2 | 4.2% | 12.5% | 407 | 9.5% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 21 | ⚪ D | · | · | 138 | 0.077 | 88.0 | 6.7% | 9.1% | 337 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 147 | 0.062 | 87.0 | 1.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 37 |
| 9 |
|
Masataka Yoshida | 10 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 155 | 0.065 | 89.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 25 |