⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
NYY
@ 6:10p
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.577
Temp
49.1°F
Wind
9.2 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Aaron Judge Aaron Judge 81 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 6 0.322 92.2 24.6% 47.4% 407 25.0% 27.3% 30.0% 29
2 Ben Rice Ben Rice 81 🟢 A · · 7 0.431 95.5 21.6% 60.0% 391 31.6% 40.0% 31.5% 27
3 Giancarlo Stanton Giancarlo Stanton 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 24 0.166 94.1 18.0% 17.6% 410 33.3% 33.3% 13.2% 27
4 Amed Rosario Amed Rosario 55 🟠 C · · 40 0.289 91.3 13.3% 30.8% 405 0.0% 0.0% 20.5% 29
5 Randal Grichuk Randal Grichuk 42 ⚪ D · · 75 0.129 89.7 18.2% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 18
6 Trent Grisham Trent Grisham 39 ⚪ D · · 83 0.162 91.2 10.3% 15.0% 372 5.3% 10.0% 14.0% 29
7 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 23 ⚪ D · · 130 0.124 88.6 5.1% 13.3% 363 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 28
8 José Caballero José Caballero 22 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 133 0.125 84.5 3.1% 15.4% 354 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 38
9 Austin Wells Austin Wells 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 144 0.066 91.5 6.3% 6.2% 396 5.6% 11.1% 5.8% 26
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 49 ⚪ D · · 56 0.159 91.5 14.3% 26.7% 398 15.0% 20.0% 11.8% 26
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 46 ⚪ D · · 65 0.200 90.4 12.0% 17.4% 380 15.0% 0.0% 8.7% 36
3 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 102 0.098 89.6 12.1% 9.1% 424 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 33
4 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 113 0.087 93.2 7.3% 8.3% 383 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 18
5 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 118 0.143 87.9 11.8% 6.2% 385 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 29
6 Trevor Story Trevor Story 24 ⚪ D · · 129 0.105 89.2 4.2% 12.5% 407 9.5% 10.0% 5.3% 33
7 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 21 ⚪ D · · 138 0.077 88.0 6.7% 9.1% 337 5.3% 0.0% 5.1% 30
8 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 17 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 147 0.062 87.0 1.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 37
9 Masataka Yoshida Masataka Yoshida 10 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 155 0.065 89.8 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 25
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