⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
NYY
@ 6:45p
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.659
Temp
42.2°F
Wind
10.5 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Aaron Judge Aaron Judge 83 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 7 0.353 90.9 28.6% 52.9% 407 26.3% 27.3% 31.3% 31
2 Ben Rice Ben Rice 80 🟢 A · 🌧️ COOL 11 0.435 96.8 23.3% 57.1% 400 33.3% 40.0% 31.2% 25
3 Giancarlo Stanton Giancarlo Stanton 57 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 61 0.165 92.4 12.5% 18.8% 414 40.0% 40.0% 13.6% 27
4 Trent Grisham Trent Grisham 48 ⚪ D · · 87 0.181 92.1 12.8% 16.7% 373 5.6% 10.0% 16.4% 25
5 Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger 39 ⚪ D · · 137 0.178 87.0 7.8% 11.1% 394 10.5% 9.1% 9.0% 39
6 Ryan McMahon Ryan McMahon 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 157 0.063 93.0 8.3% 10.0% · 20.0% 20.0% 8.1% 16
7 Austin Wells Austin Wells 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 198 0.074 93.5 9.1% 7.1% 396 5.9% 11.1% 6.1% 26
8 José Caballero José Caballero 23 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 216 0.091 82.2 5.1% 9.1% 370 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 32
9 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 12 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 253 0.065 88.1 4.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 23
Max Fried
Max Fried LHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 57 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 60 0.182 91.1 15.8% 28.6% 399 15.8% 20.0% 12.5% 27
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 110 0.177 91.0 13.7% 14.3% 372 15.8% 0.0% 7.0% 34
3 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 164 0.100 92.1 11.9% 7.7% 391 5.3% 0.0% 4.7% 28
4 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 30 ⚪ D · · 187 0.088 90.4 12.8% 14.3% 424 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 25
5 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 199 0.125 89.4 12.5% 7.1% 385 0.0% 0.0% 4.6% 25
6 Trevor Story Trevor Story 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 201 0.116 88.2 3.9% 13.3% 402 10.0% 10.0% 5.1% 31
7 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 25 ⚪ D · · 209 0.091 88.7 7.9% 10.0% 337 5.6% 0.0% 4.9% 27
8 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 249 0.040 93.2 7.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.3% 19
9 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 11 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 254 0.070 85.0 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 32
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