⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
NYY
@ 6:45p
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.577
Temp
40.4°F
Wind
4.2 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Aaron Judge Aaron Judge 82 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 10 0.366 90.9 28.6% 52.9% 407 27.8% 27.3% 25.9% 30
2 Ben Rice Ben Rice 79 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 13 0.462 96.8 23.3% 57.1% 400 35.3% 40.0% 25.8% 27
3 Giancarlo Stanton Giancarlo Stanton 45 ⚪ D · · 92 0.120 92.4 12.5% 15.4% 414 25.0% 25.0% 5.7% 26
4 Trent Grisham Trent Grisham 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 98 0.181 92.1 12.8% 16.7% 373 5.9% 10.0% 13.5% 30
5 Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger 39 ⚪ D · · 124 0.185 87.0 7.8% 11.1% 394 11.1% 9.1% 7.7% 39
6 Ryan McMahon Ryan McMahon 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 136 0.066 93.0 8.3% 10.0% · 25.0% 25.0% 6.7% 16
7 Austin Wells Austin Wells 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 186 0.080 93.5 9.1% 7.7% 396 6.2% 11.1% 5.1% 24
8 José Caballero José Caballero 23 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 200 0.096 82.2 5.1% 9.1% 370 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 33
9 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 230 0.069 88.1 4.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.6% 23
Luis Gil
Luis Gil RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 67 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 33 0.192 91.1 15.8% 30.8% 399 16.7% 20.0% 24.5% 24
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 69 0.185 91.0 13.7% 15.0% 372 16.7% 0.0% 12.0% 31
3 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 104 0.104 92.1 11.9% 7.7% 391 5.6% 0.0% 7.6% 27
4 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 38 ⚪ D · · 129 0.090 90.4 12.8% 14.3% 424 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 26
5 Trevor Story Trevor Story 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 150 0.119 88.2 3.9% 14.3% 402 10.5% 10.0% 8.3% 31
6 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 161 0.109 89.4 12.5% 7.7% 385 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 25
7 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 32 ⚪ D · · 165 0.095 88.7 7.9% 11.1% 337 5.9% 0.0% 8.1% 26
8 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 204 0.043 93.2 7.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 16
9 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 16 ⚪ D · · 223 0.073 85.0 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 32
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