NYY
@
6:45p
BOS
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.577
Temp
40.4°F
Wind
4.2 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Connelly Early
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Aaron Judge ⚡ | 82 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 10 | 0.366 | 90.9 | 28.6% | 52.9% | 407 | 27.8% | 27.3% | 25.9% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Ben Rice ⚡ | 79 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 13 | 0.462 | 96.8 | 23.3% | 57.1% | 400 | 35.3% | 40.0% | 25.8% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Giancarlo Stanton | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 92 | 0.120 | 92.4 | 12.5% | 15.4% | 414 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 5.7% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Trent Grisham | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 98 | 0.181 | 92.1 | 12.8% | 16.7% | 373 | 5.9% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 124 | 0.185 | 87.0 | 7.8% | 11.1% | 394 | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Ryan McMahon | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 136 | 0.066 | 93.0 | 8.3% | 10.0% | · | 25.0% | 25.0% | 6.7% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Austin Wells | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 186 | 0.080 | 93.5 | 9.1% | 7.7% | 396 | 6.2% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
José Caballero ⚡ | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 200 | 0.096 | 82.2 | 5.1% | 9.1% | 370 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 33 |
| 9 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 230 | 0.069 | 88.1 | 4.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.6% | 23 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 33 | 0.192 | 91.1 | 15.8% | 30.8% | 399 | 16.7% | 20.0% | 24.5% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 69 | 0.185 | 91.0 | 13.7% | 15.0% | 372 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 12.0% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Roman Anthony | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 104 | 0.104 | 92.1 | 11.9% | 7.7% | 391 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Jarren Duran | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 129 | 0.090 | 90.4 | 12.8% | 14.3% | 424 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Trevor Story | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 150 | 0.119 | 88.2 | 3.9% | 14.3% | 402 | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
Marcelo Mayer ⚡ | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 161 | 0.109 | 89.4 | 12.5% | 7.7% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 165 | 0.095 | 88.7 | 7.9% | 11.1% | 337 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 204 | 0.043 | 93.2 | 7.1% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 16 |
| 9 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 16 | ⚪ D | · | · | 223 | 0.073 | 85.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 32 |