⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs
NYM
@
STL
Busch Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.93×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.116
Temp
53.5°F
Wind
11.5 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 70 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 7 0.252 93.5 14.1% 19.3% 408 25.0% 25.0% 13.0% 19
2 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 51 0.174 91.9 9.7% 15.0% 388 25.0% 25.0% 11.5% 16
3 Juan Soto Juan Soto 52 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 68 0.262 93.8 13.9% 25.1% 400 0.0% 0.0% 14.8% 15
4 Brett Baty Brett Baty 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 88 0.181 90.7 11.7% 22.5% 399 0.0% 0.0% 14.0% 18
5 Mark Vientos Mark Vientos 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 104 0.179 91.4 11.0% 14.9% 394 0.0% 0.0% 11.4% 12
6 Francisco Lindor Francisco Lindor 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 151 0.199 90.5 9.7% 15.0% 390 0.0% 0.0% 11.5% 21
7 Starling Marte Starling Marte 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 175 0.140 87.6 9.1% 12.7% 397 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 13
8 Jeff McNeil Jeff McNeil 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 218 0.168 87.2 7.3% 8.5% 392 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 17
9 Tyrone Taylor Tyrone Taylor 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 228 0.097 86.5 6.3% 2.0% 402 0.0% 0.0% 4.2% 9
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 76 0.169 91.0 9.3% 10.2% 408 20.0% 20.0% 9.6% 20
2 Brendan Donovan Brendan Donovan 52 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 77 0.135 89.7 9.0% 6.9% 387 33.3% 33.3% 7.9% 26
3 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 109 0.165 89.6 9.2% 12.7% 409 25.0% 25.0% 10.7% 12
4 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 118 0.180 91.2 10.1% 19.4% 407 0.0% 0.0% 13.2% 14
5 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 172 0.190 90.6 11.3% 15.2% 407 0.0% 0.0% 11.7% 14
6 Lars Nootbaar Lars Nootbaar 35 ⚪ D · · 198 0.128 91.3 9.7% 7.3% 388 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 0
7 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 223 0.140 86.8 6.0% 7.5% 383 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 19
8 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 229 0.110 88.3 6.7% 5.7% 388 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 15
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 17 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 240 0.080 86.1 5.8% 4.9% 397 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 18
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