MIN
@
7:10p
BOS
Park Factor
0.89×
Weather Mod
-4.0%
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.535
Temp
61.0°F
Wind
12.7 mph
in
Roof
open
Payton Tolle
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 82 | 🟢 A | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 10 | 0.320 | 89.4 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 393 | 31.7% | 37.5% | 21.5% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Ryan Jeffers | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 38 | 0.238 | 91.2 | 15.8% | 11.1% | 402 | 17.5% | 22.2% | 17.2% | 23 |
| 3 |
|
Josh Bell | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 170 | 0.111 | 89.9 | 10.8% | 7.1% | 397 | 3.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Matt Wallner | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 185 | 0.125 | 88.4 | 10.4% | 10.0% | 415 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 2 |
| 5 |
|
Victor Caratini | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 214 | 0.039 | 88.8 | 5.6% | 12.5% | 415 | 4.9% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 18 |
| 6 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 217 | 0.113 | 85.7 | 6.7% | 6.7% | 381 | 5.0% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Brooks Lee | 22 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 237 | 0.144 | 87.0 | 4.5% | 18.8% | 364 | 11.6% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Austin Martin | 13 | ⚪ D | +900 | 🌧️ COOL | 257 | 0.096 | 86.2 | 2.0% | 7.7% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 12 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 259 | 0.070 | 84.0 | 3.5% | 0.0% | 367 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 3.8% | 27 |
Connor Prielipp
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 57 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 63 | 0.201 | 90.7 | 15.3% | 30.8% | 413 | 20.0% | 16.7% | 22.8% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 108 | 0.169 | 90.0 | 11.0% | 9.1% | 391 | 13.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 109 | 0.149 | 86.9 | 7.6% | 14.3% | 364 | 9.1% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Jarren Duran | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 131 | 0.122 | 90.3 | 11.3% | 0.0% | 387 | 11.1% | 16.7% | 6.3% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Trevor Story | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 186 | 0.100 | 88.9 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 412 | 7.3% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 10 |
| 6 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 209 | 0.081 | 87.1 | 7.7% | 20.0% | 382 | 3.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Roman Anthony | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 212 | 0.092 | 92.3 | 9.2% | 5.9% | 391 | 2.8% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 220 | 0.111 | 91.6 | 7.6% | 11.1% | 386 | 7.4% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 12 |
| 9 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 10 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 260 | 0.076 | 84.8 | 0.8% | 0.0% | 386 | 2.3% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 16 |