⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
MIN
@ 7:10p
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.89×
Weather Mod
-4.0%
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.535
Temp
61.0°F
Wind
12.7 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 82 🟢 A +950 🌤️ WARM 10 0.320 89.4 20.0% 20.0% 393 31.7% 37.5% 21.5% 22
2 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 63 🔵 C+ · · 38 0.238 91.2 15.8% 11.1% 402 17.5% 22.2% 17.2% 23
3 Josh Bell Josh Bell 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 170 0.111 89.9 10.8% 7.1% 397 3.3% 10.0% 8.0% 26
4 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 185 0.125 88.4 10.4% 10.0% 415 10.5% 0.0% 9.5% 2
5 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 29 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 214 0.039 88.8 5.6% 12.5% 415 4.9% 10.0% 6.5% 18
6 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 28 ⚪ D · · 217 0.113 85.7 6.7% 6.7% 381 5.0% 11.1% 7.7% 19
7 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 22 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 237 0.144 87.0 4.5% 18.8% 364 11.6% 0.0% 7.2% 37
8 Austin Martin Austin Martin 13 ⚪ D +900 🌧️ COOL 257 0.096 86.2 2.0% 7.7% 406 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 34
9 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 12 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 259 0.070 84.0 3.5% 0.0% 367 2.4% 0.0% 3.8% 27
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 57 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 63 0.201 90.7 15.3% 30.8% 413 20.0% 16.7% 22.8% 28
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 47 ⚪ D · · 108 0.169 90.0 11.0% 9.1% 391 13.3% 8.3% 8.0% 36
3 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 109 0.149 86.9 7.6% 14.3% 364 9.1% 16.7% 14.3% 26
4 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 43 ⚪ D · · 131 0.122 90.3 11.3% 0.0% 387 11.1% 16.7% 6.3% 32
5 Trevor Story Trevor Story 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 186 0.100 88.9 3.6% 0.0% 412 7.3% 12.5% 9.6% 10
6 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 30 ⚪ D · · 209 0.081 87.1 7.7% 20.0% 382 3.2% 10.0% 7.7% 26
7 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 212 0.092 92.3 9.2% 5.9% 391 2.8% 0.0% 6.1% 26
8 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 220 0.111 91.6 7.6% 11.1% 386 7.4% 0.0% 7.7% 12
9 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 10 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 260 0.076 84.8 0.8% 0.0% 386 2.3% 0.0% 6.1% 16
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