⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs
MIN
@
BAL
Camden Yards · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.28×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cold air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.280
Temp
43.6°F
Wind
17.3 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 65 🔵 C+ · · 8 0.287 92.5 12.4% 21.3% 406 0.0% 0.0% 18.7% 0
2 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 54 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 36 0.262 91.0 11.0% 19.6% 406 0.0% 0.0% 17.9% 15
3 Kody Clemens Kody Clemens 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 38 0.221 91.5 10.3% 15.7% 392 0.0% 0.0% 16.0% 1
4 Josh Bell Josh Bell 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 70 0.179 90.4 10.3% 15.1% 404 0.0% 0.0% 15.7% 2
5 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 96 0.131 89.3 7.4% 7.0% 411 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 27
6 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 115 0.152 89.8 8.8% 9.6% 402 0.0% 0.0% 12.5% 1
7 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 43 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 124 0.153 90.9 8.0% 12.0% 405 0.0% 0.0% 14.0% 1
8 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 39 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 161 0.133 88.6 7.1% 10.3% 383 0.0% 0.0% 13.0% 5
9 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 39 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 165 0.143 86.2 6.8% 7.7% 399 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 6
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Colton Cowser Colton Cowser 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 28 0.190 90.9 10.1% 20.5% 405 0.0% 0.0% 19.8% 4
2 Tyler O'Neill Tyler O'Neill 55 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 30 0.193 88.8 10.9% 13.0% 406 0.0% 0.0% 15.8% 3
3 Jordan Westburg Jordan Westburg 53 🟠 C · · 44 0.192 90.2 9.0% 16.0% 397 0.0% 0.0% 17.5% 10
4 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 71 0.171 87.3 8.5% 12.1% 405 0.0% 0.0% 15.2% 1
5 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 80 0.165 92.1 7.8% 12.3% 393 0.0% 0.0% 15.4% 4
6 Jackson Holliday Jackson Holliday 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 87 0.133 88.8 7.5% 11.2% 393 0.0% 0.0% 14.6% 3
7 Ryan Mountcastle Ryan Mountcastle 45 ⚪ D · · 103 0.117 90.7 9.2% 8.9% 404 0.0% 0.0% 13.1% 0
8 Adley Rutschman Adley Rutschman 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 105 0.146 89.4 7.3% 8.5% 395 0.0% 0.0% 12.8% 3
9 Dylan Carlson Dylan Carlson 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 126 0.134 88.4 7.0% 8.6% 376 0.0% 0.0% 12.8% 3
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