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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs
MIN
@
BAL
Camden Yards · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
Neutral
Combined
1.030
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 58 🟠 C · · 6 0.287 92.5 11.6% 21.3% 406 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 0
2 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 47 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 41 0.262 91.0 10.2% 19.6% 406 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 15
3 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 83 0.131 89.3 6.9% 7.0% 411 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 27
4 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 103 0.153 90.9 7.4% 12.0% 405 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 1
5 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 104 0.152 89.8 8.1% 9.6% 402 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 1
6 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 122 0.104 89.2 9.6% 10.3% 391 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 4
7 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 33 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 127 0.133 88.6 6.6% 10.3% 383 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 5
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 33 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 130 0.143 86.2 6.3% 7.7% 399 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 6
9 Christian Vazquez Christian Vazquez 25 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 150 0.084 85.9 5.4% 4.1% 386 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 3
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Tyler O'Neill Tyler O'Neill 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 12 0.193 88.8 13.8% 13.0% 406 0.0% 0.0% 12.9% 4
2 Colton Cowser Colton Cowser 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 15 0.190 90.9 12.7% 20.5% 405 0.0% 0.0% 16.2% 4
3 Jordan Westburg Jordan Westburg 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 28 0.192 90.2 11.3% 16.0% 397 0.0% 0.0% 14.3% 7
4 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 53 0.165 92.1 9.9% 12.3% 393 0.0% 0.0% 12.6% 4
5 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 55 0.171 87.3 10.8% 12.1% 405 0.0% 0.0% 12.5% 1
6 Jackson Holliday Jackson Holliday 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 61 0.133 88.8 9.5% 11.2% 393 0.0% 0.0% 12.0% 3
7 Ryan Mountcastle Ryan Mountcastle 41 ⚪ D · · 73 0.117 90.7 11.6% 8.9% 404 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 0
8 Adley Rutschman Adley Rutschman 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 74 0.146 89.4 9.3% 8.5% 395 0.0% 0.0% 10.4% 3
9 Dylan Carlson Dylan Carlson 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 91 0.134 88.4 8.8% 8.6% 376 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 3
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