⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
MIL
@ 7:45p
STL
Busch Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.992
Temp
70.5°F
Wind
2.0 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 52 🟠 C · · 13 0.253 96.0 · 36.4% 406 21.1% 18.2% 27.8% 32
2 Nathan Church Nathan Church 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 31 0.200 86.8 · 33.3% 387 17.6% 25.0% 23.2% 41
3 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 47 0.203 90.2 · 19.2% 394 6.7% 8.3% 21.0% 43
4 Pedro Pagés Pedro Pagés 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 48 0.183 86.0 · 23.1% 397 9.1% 0.0% 23.0% 21
5 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 37 ⚪ D · · 69 0.181 90.8 · 18.8% 400 9.5% 12.5% 15.4% 34
6 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 74 0.176 91.2 · 18.2% 414 16.7% 18.2% 11.2% 38
7 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 84 0.143 88.0 · 19.2% 403 10.3% 8.3% 10.3% 34
8 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 23 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 149 0.053 87.5 · 14.3% 415 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 20
9 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 23 ⚪ D · · 150 0.107 86.4 · 9.1% 373 3.4% 0.0% 8.1% 39
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gary Sánchez Gary Sánchez 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 20 0.311 89.0 · 27.3% 405 16.7% 0.0% 18.8% 24
2 Brice Turang Brice Turang 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 50 0.220 92.7 · 26.3% 401 9.7% 0.0% 21.1% 32
3 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 55 0.209 92.6 · 32.0% 395 12.5% 0.0% 21.7% 33
4 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 80 0.094 84.7 · 14.3% 402 7.1% 10.0% 12.8% 34
5 William Contreras William Contreras 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 119 0.112 89.8 · 27.3% 404 6.7% 9.1% 10.7% 46
6 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 127 0.135 90.0 · 16.7% 420 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 26
7 Luis Rengifo Luis Rengifo 23 ⚪ D · · 148 0.087 87.4 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 36
8 David Hamilton David Hamilton 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 175 0.029 84.6 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 30
9 Brandon Lockridge Brandon Lockridge 12 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 183 0.040 86.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 18
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