MIL
@
7:45p
STL
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.992
Temp
70.5°F
Wind
2.0 mph
in
Roof
open
Chad Patrick
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 13 | 0.253 | 96.0 | · | 36.4% | 406 | 21.1% | 18.2% | 27.8% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Nathan Church | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 31 | 0.200 | 86.8 | · | 33.3% | 387 | 17.6% | 25.0% | 23.2% | 41 |
| 3 |
|
JJ Wetherholt | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 47 | 0.203 | 90.2 | · | 19.2% | 394 | 6.7% | 8.3% | 21.0% | 43 |
| 4 |
|
Pedro Pagés | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 48 | 0.183 | 86.0 | · | 23.1% | 397 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 23.0% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 69 | 0.181 | 90.8 | · | 18.8% | 400 | 9.5% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Alec Burleson | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 74 | 0.176 | 91.2 | · | 18.2% | 414 | 16.7% | 18.2% | 11.2% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 84 | 0.143 | 88.0 | · | 19.2% | 403 | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Victor Scott II | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 149 | 0.053 | 87.5 | · | 14.3% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Masyn Winn | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 150 | 0.107 | 86.4 | · | 9.1% | 373 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 39 |
Kyle Leahy
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gary Sánchez | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 20 | 0.311 | 89.0 | · | 27.3% | 405 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Brice Turang | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 50 | 0.220 | 92.7 | · | 26.3% | 401 | 9.7% | 0.0% | 21.1% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Jake Bauers | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 55 | 0.209 | 92.6 | · | 32.0% | 395 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 21.7% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Sal Frelick | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.094 | 84.7 | · | 14.3% | 402 | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 119 | 0.112 | 89.8 | · | 27.3% | 404 | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 46 |
| 6 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 127 | 0.135 | 90.0 | · | 16.7% | 420 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Rengifo | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 148 | 0.087 | 87.4 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
David Hamilton | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 175 | 0.029 | 84.6 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Brandon Lockridge | 12 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 183 | 0.040 | 86.0 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 18 |