⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
MIL
@ 7:40p
CHC
Wrigley Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.237
Temp
54.7°F
Wind
13.8 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 74 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 16 0.232 90.3 17.0% 18.8% 400 22.9% 15.4% 28.4% 24
2 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 58 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 45 0.219 90.9 12.4% 30.0% 390 8.0% 0.0% 16.2% 17
3 Michael Busch Michael Busch 50 🟠 C +950 🔥 HOT 84 0.125 88.3 11.6% 9.1% 401 8.3% 7.7% 7.0% 30
4 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 47 ⚪ D · · 98 0.166 90.3 8.9% 25.0% 398 14.6% 7.7% 13.4% 33
5 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 43 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 113 0.226 88.7 7.5% 20.0% 414 10.3% 0.0% 16.6% 30
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 144 0.133 90.8 7.8% 10.0% 382 10.6% 15.4% 8.9% 33
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 192 0.113 89.1 6.4% 14.3% 390 6.5% 7.7% 8.8% 36
8 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 203 0.098 90.3 8.6% 20.0% 414 4.5% 0.0% 9.5% 23
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 234 0.142 85.5 1.7% 18.2% 383 8.3% 0.0% 10.3% 50
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 69 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 27 0.204 93.2 12.7% 28.6% 402 14.8% 22.2% 32.3% 24
2 Gary Sánchez Gary Sánchez 53 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 66 0.238 88.3 10.9% 21.4% 405 9.5% 0.0% 21.6% 11
3 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 69 0.112 92.6 13.7% 20.0% 413 3.6% 10.0% 11.8% 18
4 Brice Turang Brice Turang 50 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 82 0.213 91.6 9.0% 26.9% 400 11.4% 9.1% 22.6% 35
5 William Contreras William Contreras 38 ⚪ D · · 146 0.111 90.3 7.1% 23.1% 404 7.0% 0.0% 12.5% 41
6 Luis Rengifo Luis Rengifo 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 221 0.068 87.7 5.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 30
7 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 228 0.085 84.8 3.0% 10.5% 402 4.9% 0.0% 9.3% 39
8 Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 16 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 251 0.044 86.1 3.7% 7.1% 395 0.0% 0.0% 9.6% 24
9 David Hamilton David Hamilton 11 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 258 0.021 84.3 2.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 16
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