MIL
@
7:40p
CHC
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.237
Temp
54.7°F
Wind
13.8 mph
out
Roof
open
Kyle Harrison
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 74 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 16 | 0.232 | 90.3 | 17.0% | 18.8% | 400 | 22.9% | 15.4% | 28.4% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.219 | 90.9 | 12.4% | 30.0% | 390 | 8.0% | 0.0% | 16.2% | 17 |
| 3 |
|
Michael Busch | 50 | 🟠 C | +950 | 🔥 HOT | 84 | 0.125 | 88.3 | 11.6% | 9.1% | 401 | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 98 | 0.166 | 90.3 | 8.9% | 25.0% | 398 | 14.6% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 113 | 0.226 | 88.7 | 7.5% | 20.0% | 414 | 10.3% | 0.0% | 16.6% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 144 | 0.133 | 90.8 | 7.8% | 10.0% | 382 | 10.6% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 192 | 0.113 | 89.1 | 6.4% | 14.3% | 390 | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Carson Kelly | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 203 | 0.098 | 90.3 | 8.6% | 20.0% | 414 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 234 | 0.142 | 85.5 | 1.7% | 18.2% | 383 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 50 |
Edward Cabrera
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Bauers | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 27 | 0.204 | 93.2 | 12.7% | 28.6% | 402 | 14.8% | 22.2% | 32.3% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Gary Sánchez | 53 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 66 | 0.238 | 88.3 | 10.9% | 21.4% | 405 | 9.5% | 0.0% | 21.6% | 11 |
| 3 |
|
Garrett Mitchell ⚡ | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 69 | 0.112 | 92.6 | 13.7% | 20.0% | 413 | 3.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 18 |
| 4 |
|
Brice Turang ⚡ | 50 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 82 | 0.213 | 91.6 | 9.0% | 26.9% | 400 | 11.4% | 9.1% | 22.6% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 146 | 0.111 | 90.3 | 7.1% | 23.1% | 404 | 7.0% | 0.0% | 12.5% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Luis Rengifo | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 221 | 0.068 | 87.7 | 5.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Sal Frelick | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 228 | 0.085 | 84.8 | 3.0% | 10.5% | 402 | 4.9% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 39 |
| 8 |
|
Joey Ortiz | 16 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 251 | 0.044 | 86.1 | 3.7% | 7.1% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
David Hamilton | 11 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 258 | 0.021 | 84.3 | 2.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 16 |