⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
LAD
@ 9:45p
SF
Oracle Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.79×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
0.789
Temp
52.9°F
Wind
8.4 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 63 🔵 C+ · · 42 0.234 94.0 23.9% 21.7% 403 10.5% 9.1% 13.8% 31
2 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 54 🟠 C · · 60 0.223 92.7 16.7% 12.0% 412 11.1% 0.0% 8.6% 32
3 Teoscar Hernández Teoscar Hernández 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 71 0.211 89.7 11.1% 33.3% 393 14.3% 14.3% 16.4% 25
4 Max Muncy Max Muncy 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 74 0.190 95.3 12.8% 15.4% 383 26.5% 31.6% 13.0% 60
5 Andy Pages Andy Pages 51 🟠 C · · 75 0.235 91.9 8.9% 33.3% 392 21.1% 18.2% 16.2% 29
6 Miguel Rojas Miguel Rojas 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 100 0.147 90.0 4.3% 25.0% · 100.0% 100.0% 8.8% 14
7 Will Smith Will Smith 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 176 0.098 88.8 12.2% 9.1% 416 10.5% 0.0% 4.8% 35
8 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 179 0.134 87.3 2.2% 16.7% 404 5.6% 10.0% 6.4% 35
9 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 215 0.091 92.1 6.9% 14.3% 413 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 23
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willy Adames Willy Adames 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 64 0.214 88.4 12.0% 15.8% 375 11.8% 11.1% 12.2% 34
2 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 46 ⚪ D · · 90 0.203 93.3 10.7% 13.3% 385 5.9% 11.1% 11.8% 32
3 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 44 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 99 0.129 89.3 5.1% 16.7% · 13.3% 28.6% 10.2% 25
4 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 164 0.090 90.7 10.9% 10.5% 408 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 32
5 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 196 0.115 88.9 2.0% 7.7% 361 5.9% 11.1% 5.6% 37
6 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 198 0.101 88.7 3.8% 12.5% 349 5.9% 0.0% 6.0% 39
7 Harrison Bader Harrison Bader 17 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 221 0.077 87.1 8.3% 14.3% 408 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 10
8 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 14 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 231 0.000 89.1 5.3% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 17
9 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 10 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 240 0.061 85.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.4% 38
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