2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 4 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 7 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 CJ Abrams 4 HRs · 12 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs 1 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 4 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 7 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 CJ Abrams 4 HRs · 12 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs
LAD
@ 9:40p
ATH
Sutter Health Park · 13 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Sutter Health Park

First pitch 9:40p · roof unknown
Park 1.25× Wind unknown unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.25

Unknown stadium. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

LAD Bullpen Proxy
1.04 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.00 ·
5 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nick Kurtz Nick Kurtz 72 🟡 B +265 · 6 0.236 94.1 18.4% 30.6% 410 21.2% 8.3% 21.3% 23
2 Shea Langeliers Shea Langeliers 66 🔵 C+ +255 · 21 0.235 91.5 14.1% 18.3% 416 19.5% 8.3% 18.6% 33
3 Carlos Cortes Carlos Cortes 46 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 118 0.153 89.8 8.1% 12.8% 404 5.0% 0.0% 11.2% 8
4 Lawrence Butler Lawrence Butler 43 ⚪ D +525 🌤️ WARM 143 0.115 88.6 6.8% 17.1% 402 4.3% 8.3% 11.5% 18
5 Jeff Mcneil Jeff Mcneil 31 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 196 0.076 86.1 0.9% 4.9% 373 5.0% 0.0% 8.5% 31
J.T. Ginn RHP
1.00 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.11 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 68 🔵 C+ +192 · 7 0.248 94.1 10.2% 25.5% vs RHP 406 18.8% 27.3% 36.6% 32
2 Max Muncy Max Muncy 64 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 16 0.244 90.2 9.6% 27.0% vs RHP 409 19.5% 21.4% 25.6% 52
3 Mookie Betts Mookie Betts 57 🟠 C +425 · 36 0.193 90.4 7.3% 20.4% vs RHP 385 14.0% 33.3% 27.4% 44
4 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 56 🟠 C +350 · 42 0.196 90.7 8.3% 17.9% vs RHP 396 13.6% 16.7% 16.9% 38
5 Andy Pages Andy Pages 55 🟠 C +390 🌧️ COOL 50 0.205 89.4 7.4% 25.0% vs RHP 389 15.9% 8.3% 18.2% 38
6 Teoscar Hernandez Teoscar Hernandez 49 ⚪ D +425 🌤️ WARM 79 0.180 90.0 8.2% 25.0% vs RHP 383 0.0% 0.0% 19.9% 5
7 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 45 ⚪ D +425 🌤️ WARM 104 0.137 89.0 6.0% 11.8% vs RHP 399 6.2% 10.0% 10.2% 24
8 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 41 ⚪ D +700 ❄ COLD 129 0.103 88.8 5.9% 10.3% vs RHP 373 3.3% 0.0% 9.6% 21
🏟️
Six home runs to freedom

Unlock the full game board

See every batter in this game, both pitcher groups, all HR profile signals, and the matchup context that drives the slate.

10 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.3.39 · build 540

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.