LAA
@
3:40p
AZ
Stadium Conditions
Chase Field
First pitch 3:40p
· roof retractable
Park 0.95×
Wind 7 mph cross
108°F
retractable
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
3:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
4:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
5:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.24
108°F, wind 7 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
6 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mike Trout | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 26 | 0.223 | 91.4 | 13.1% | 20.0% vs LHP | 405 | 19.1% | 25.0% | 23.2% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Zach Neto | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 56 | 0.196 | 89.5 | 9.7% | 16.7% vs LHP | 400 | 17.6% | 33.3% | 19.6% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Vaughn Grissom | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 104 | 0.164 | 90.9 | 7.8% | 0.0% vs LHP | 396 | 13.3% | 25.0% | 9.1% | 4 |
| 4 |
|
Jo Adell | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 141 | 0.140 | 90.5 | 8.2% | 30.0% vs LHP | 415 | 11.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Oswald Peraza | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 142 | 0.159 | 87.4 | 8.5% | 33.3% vs LHP | 386 | 9.8% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Wade Meckler | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 143 | 0.170 | 85.2 | 8.0% | 16.7% | 400 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 27 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 36 | 0.255 | 92.0 | 8.6% | 11.1% vs LHP | 409 | 17.3% | 30.8% | 24.4% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Gabriel Moreno | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 80 | 0.213 | 89.7 | 7.5% | 20.0% vs LHP | 395 | 13.8% | 23.1% | 16.9% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Ketel Marte | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 119 | 0.184 | 91.0 | 7.7% | 28.6% vs LHP | 416 | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 43 |
| 4 |
|
Nolan Arenado ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 162 | 0.169 | 85.2 | 6.0% | 25.0% vs LHP | 400 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Tommy Troy | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 174 | 0.131 | 84.2 | 7.0% | 14.3% | 374 | 7.7% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 182 | 0.164 | 86.7 | 4.8% | 35.7% vs LHP | 399 | 7.8% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 202 | 0.115 | 87.5 | 4.0% | 7.1% vs LHP | 379 | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 38 |
| 8 |
|
Jordan Lawlar | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 207 | 0.118 | 88.2 | 5.5% | 0.0% vs LHP | 424 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 9 |