KC
@
—
ATL
Park Factor
1.04×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.936
Temp
59.4°F
Wind
6.9 mph
in
Roof
open
Michael Wacha
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 19 | 0.195 | 91.7 | 9.0% | 18.1% | 398 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 11.4% | 0 |
| 2 |
|
Ronald Acuna Jr. | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 47 | 0.228 | 92.7 | 10.8% | 23.1% | 419 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.8% | 0 |
| 3 | Michael Harris II | 53 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 50 | 0.160 | 90.2 | 8.2% | 12.5% | 411 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 9.4% | 3 | |
| 4 |
|
Austin Riley | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 97 | 0.168 | 92.3 | 10.6% | 12.4% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 2 |
| 5 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 111 | 0.124 | 87.5 | 6.0% | 7.2% | 380 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 7.2% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Matt Olson | 44 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 121 | 0.212 | 93.3 | 10.3% | 16.0% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 15 |
| 7 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 128 | 0.168 | 89.9 | 9.2% | 15.0% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 0 |
| 8 |
|
Jurickson Profar | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 135 | 0.189 | 89.0 | 7.3% | 11.3% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 4 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Allen | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 249 | 0.030 | 84.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 34 |
Reynaldo López
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Salvador Perez | 47 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 89 | 0.209 | 90.0 | 9.4% | 13.8% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 7 |
| 2 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 98 | 0.205 | 93.3 | 8.7% | 10.6% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 0 | |
| 3 |
|
Vinnie Pasquantino | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 108 | 0.211 | 90.9 | 8.1% | 14.3% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 0 |
| 4 |
|
Jonathan India | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 159 | 0.113 | 87.9 | 5.9% | 5.1% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 12 |
| 5 |
|
Maikel Garcia | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 187 | 0.163 | 91.3 | 5.8% | 8.3% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 4 |
| 6 |
|
Drew Waters | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 202 | 0.073 | 86.0 | 5.0% | 2.4% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.3% | 12 |
| 7 |
|
Jac Caglianone | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 207 | 0.138 | 89.4 | 8.5% | 13.0% | 412 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 10 |
| 8 |
|
Kyle Isbel | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 241 | 0.098 | 87.8 | 3.1% | 4.0% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 3 |
| 9 |
|
Michael Massey | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 242 | 0.069 | 87.5 | 4.9% | 2.7% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 4 |