DET
@
—
SD
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.900
Temp
66.0°F
Wind
6.9 mph
cross
Roof
open
Randy Vásquez
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Riley Greene | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 35 | 0.235 | 89.9 | 13.7% | 22.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 7 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 48 | 0.245 | 91.4 | 11.7% | 17.3% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 0 |
| 3 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 58 | 0.147 | 90.0 | 10.0% | 11.1% | 389 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 8.6% | 7 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 84 | 0.217 | 90.2 | 12.1% | 15.0% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 10 |
| 5 |
|
Wenceel Perez | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 123 | 0.186 | 90.3 | 9.8% | 11.0% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 5 |
| 6 |
|
Colt Keith | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 147 | 0.157 | 90.0 | 10.0% | 10.7% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Zach McKinstry | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 157 | 0.179 | 85.7 | 8.2% | 10.3% | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 7 |
| 8 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 183 | 0.132 | 90.0 | 9.4% | 9.0% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 2 |
| 9 |
|
Javier Baez | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 193 | 0.141 | 88.2 | 7.7% | 10.4% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 9 |
Jack Flaherty
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jackson Merrill ⚡ | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 107 | 0.193 | 89.7 | 11.6% | 11.9% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 3 |
| 2 |
|
Manny Machado | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 118 | 0.185 | 92.9 | 11.5% | 13.1% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 1 |
| 3 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 125 | 0.178 | 93.3 | 10.6% | 15.8% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.9% | 4 |
| 4 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 151 | 0.177 | 89.9 | 9.9% | 11.9% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 0 |
| 5 |
|
Elias Diaz | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 199 | 0.133 | 88.4 | 8.8% | 10.1% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 7 |
| 6 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 209 | 0.131 | 88.5 | 8.0% | 9.1% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 210 | 0.128 | 89.0 | 8.4% | 7.8% | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 5 |
| 8 |
|
Luis Arraez | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 244 | 0.100 | 86.1 | 3.4% | 4.4% | 370 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 8 |
| 9 |
|
Jose Iglesias | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 247 | 0.065 | 84.0 | 4.5% | 4.9% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 7 |