⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
HOU
@ 1:40p
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.28×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.276
Temp
63.0°F
Wind
8.1 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Christian Walker Christian Walker 67 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 1 0.280 91.5 · 20.0% 397 21.6% 27.3% 33.4% 39
2 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 65 🔵 C+ · · 3 0.381 94.4 · 35.3% 394 34.8% 18.2% 38.7% 34
3 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 23 0.208 87.2 · 40.0% 398 18.2% 22.2% 31.7% 28
4 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 57 0.145 87.9 · 0.0% 374 5.4% 9.1% 8.0% 37
5 Cam Smith Cam Smith 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 76 0.138 88.6 · 11.1% 406 11.1% 10.0% 10.4% 26
6 Carlos Correa Carlos Correa 35 ⚪ D · · 81 0.129 89.2 · 42.9% 384 4.3% 0.0% 13.5% 20
7 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 96 0.146 86.0 · 21.4% 378 5.7% 0.0% 12.6% 28
8 Yainer Diaz Yainer Diaz 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 117 0.120 87.8 · 16.7% 380 5.9% 0.0% 10.7% 19
9 Joey Loperfido Joey Loperfido 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 155 0.086 90.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 15
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 60 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 8 0.306 89.6 · 40.0% 393 28.6% 25.0% 45.9% 29
2 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 21 0.298 90.7 · 22.6% 391 8.7% 8.3% 17.0% 41
3 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 51 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 22 0.292 93.7 · 20.8% 394 16.7% 0.0% 24.7% 34
4 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 45 ⚪ D · · 39 0.213 89.9 · 11.5% 399 11.1% 8.3% 13.2% 37
5 Ke'Bryan Hayes Ke'Bryan Hayes 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 93 0.078 91.3 · 5.3% 365 10.0% 9.1% 6.5% 22
6 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 33 ⚪ D · · 95 0.132 84.8 · 18.2% 397 5.0% 0.0% 14.6% 0
7 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 113 0.068 87.7 · 9.1% 364 5.7% 8.3% 10.8% 32
8 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 137 0.116 92.8 · 10.0% 379 3.0% 0.0% 7.2% 24
9 Matt McLain Matt McLain 25 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 166 0.109 87.2 · 6.9% 404 5.6% 8.3% 6.7% 33
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