HOU
@
1:40p
CIN
Park Factor
1.28×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.276
Temp
63.0°F
Wind
8.1 mph
cross
Roof
open
Andrew Abbott
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Christian Walker | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 1 | 0.280 | 91.5 | · | 20.0% | 397 | 21.6% | 27.3% | 33.4% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 3 | 0.381 | 94.4 | · | 35.3% | 394 | 34.8% | 18.2% | 38.7% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Brice Matthews | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 23 | 0.208 | 87.2 | · | 40.0% | 398 | 18.2% | 22.2% | 31.7% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 57 | 0.145 | 87.9 | · | 0.0% | 374 | 5.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Cam Smith | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 76 | 0.138 | 88.6 | · | 11.1% | 406 | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Carlos Correa | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 81 | 0.129 | 89.2 | · | 42.9% | 384 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 13.5% | 20 |
| 7 |
|
Jose Altuve | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 96 | 0.146 | 86.0 | · | 21.4% | 378 | 5.7% | 0.0% | 12.6% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 117 | 0.120 | 87.8 | · | 16.7% | 380 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 19 |
| 9 |
|
Joey Loperfido | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 155 | 0.086 | 90.0 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 15 |
Kai-Wei Teng
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 8 | 0.306 | 89.6 | · | 40.0% | 393 | 28.6% | 25.0% | 45.9% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Sal Stewart | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 21 | 0.298 | 90.7 | · | 22.6% | 391 | 8.7% | 8.3% | 17.0% | 41 |
| 3 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 51 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 22 | 0.292 | 93.7 | · | 20.8% | 394 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 24.7% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Steer | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 39 | 0.213 | 89.9 | · | 11.5% | 399 | 11.1% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Ke'Bryan Hayes | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 93 | 0.078 | 91.3 | · | 5.3% | 365 | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Eugenio Suárez | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 95 | 0.132 | 84.8 | · | 18.2% | 397 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 14.6% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
TJ Friedl | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 113 | 0.068 | 87.7 | · | 9.1% | 364 | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 137 | 0.116 | 92.8 | · | 10.0% | 379 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Matt McLain | 25 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 166 | 0.109 | 87.2 | · | 6.9% | 404 | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 33 |