HOU
@
6:10p
CIN
Park Factor
1.28×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.276
Temp
61.1°F
Wind
11.5 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Mike Burrows
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 71 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 1 | 0.306 | 90.7 | · | 46.2% | 393 | 33.3% | 36.4% | 55.6% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 7 | 0.292 | 93.5 | · | 20.8% | 394 | 17.6% | 8.3% | 33.2% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 10 | 0.298 | 90.4 | · | 25.0% | 391 | 9.5% | 16.7% | 21.5% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Steer | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 26 | 0.213 | 90.0 | · | 12.0% | 399 | 11.8% | 8.3% | 16.3% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
TJ Friedl | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 53 | 0.068 | 88.0 | · | 9.5% | 364 | 6.1% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Ke'Bryan Hayes | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 72 | 0.078 | 91.2 | · | 5.3% | 365 | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Matt McLain | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 76 | 0.109 | 87.8 | · | 7.4% | 404 | 5.9% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Eugenio Suárez | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 77 | 0.132 | 84.8 | · | 18.2% | 397 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 16.6% | 0 |
| 9 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 107 | 0.116 | 92.7 | · | 10.0% | 379 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 24 |