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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
HOU
@ 12:35p
BAL
Camden Yards · 27 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.29×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.291
Temp
54.6°F
Wind
8.1 mph
out
Roof
open
Chris Bassitt
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 99 🥇 S · · 1 0.381 94.2 20.5% 21.4% 390 40.0% 33.3% 40.6% 45
2 Christian Walker Christian Walker 82 🟢 A · · 13 0.280 89.7 11.7% 35.3% 393 20.7% 25.0% 45.6% 30
3 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 62 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 38 0.208 88.1 9.1% 40.0% 434 0.0% 0.0% 24.8% 16
4 Cam Smith Cam Smith 55 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 49 0.138 89.2 14.9% 14.3% 403 10.3% 0.0% 11.5% 20
5 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 50 0.145 88.5 3.3% 18.8% 379 6.9% 16.7% 22.0% 33
6 Yainer Diaz Yainer Diaz 54 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 53 0.120 87.7 4.5% 15.4% 380 7.7% 9.1% 11.0% 23
7 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 51 🟠 C · · 64 0.146 85.8 7.5% 25.0% 378 7.4% 9.1% 13.7% 33
8 Carlos Correa Carlos Correa 50 🟠 C · · 69 0.129 88.5 8.1% 0.0% 402 6.7% 8.3% 8.9% 30
9 Joey Loperfido Joey Loperfido 38 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 104 0.086 90.0 5.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 12.2% 4
Brandon Young
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 94 🔥 A+ · · 2 0.381 94.2 20.5% 21.4% 390 40.0% 33.3% 37.9% 45
2 Christian Walker Christian Walker 78 🟡 B · · 15 0.280 89.7 11.7% 35.3% 393 20.7% 25.0% 41.5% 30
3 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 57 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 45 0.208 88.1 9.1% 40.0% 434 0.0% 0.0% 22.6% 16
4 Cam Smith Cam Smith 50 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 67 0.138 89.2 14.9% 14.3% 403 10.3% 0.0% 10.4% 20
5 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 70 0.145 88.5 3.3% 18.8% 379 6.9% 16.7% 20.0% 33
6 Yainer Diaz Yainer Diaz 49 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 76 0.120 87.7 4.5% 15.4% 380 7.7% 9.1% 10.0% 23
7 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 46 ⚪ D · · 84 0.146 85.8 7.5% 25.0% 378 7.4% 9.1% 12.5% 33
8 Carlos Correa Carlos Correa 45 ⚪ D · · 86 0.129 88.5 8.1% 0.0% 402 6.7% 8.3% 8.1% 30
9 Joey Loperfido Joey Loperfido 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 126 0.086 90.0 5.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 11.4% 4
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 81 🟢 A · · 14 0.279 90.8 12.0% 28.6% 388 30.8% 25.0% 50.0% 29
2 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 74 🟡 B · · 18 0.221 92.2 11.8% 33.3% 415 21.4% 18.2% 43.2% 25
3 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 67 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 28 0.166 87.5 6.7% 14.3% 429 12.5% 27.3% 21.8% 20
4 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 33 0.162 94.3 7.2% 22.2% 403 10.7% 16.7% 17.2% 34
5 Jeremiah Jackson Jeremiah Jackson 56 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 47 0.185 88.6 9.4% 33.3% 399 12.5% 8.3% 17.9% 29
6 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 56 0.142 90.6 5.9% 0.0% 394 3.4% 8.3% 7.6% 36
7 Dylan Beavers Dylan Beavers 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 57 0.125 87.5 5.8% 20.0% 406 7.7% 10.0% 13.8% 23
8 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 47 ⚪ D · · 80 0.143 87.5 7.0% 21.4% 409 0.0% 0.0% 23.9% 26
9 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 157 0.018 92.0 2.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.7% 11
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