DET
@
7:10p
KC
Park Factor
1.04×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.140
Temp
60.9°F
Wind
8.1 mph
out
Roof
open
Michael Wacha
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 20 | 0.219 | 91.5 | · | 25.0% | 404 | 16.2% | 27.3% | 25.6% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 40 | 0.272 | 92.1 | · | 24.0% | 382 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 17.7% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 55 | 0.220 | 91.1 | · | 33.3% | 415 | 14.7% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Riley Greene | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 66 | 0.182 | 91.0 | · | 12.0% | 409 | 8.1% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Vierling | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 100 | 0.140 | 88.5 | · | 7.7% | 358 | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Kevin McGonigle ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 107 | 0.185 | 88.6 | · | 5.4% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 134 | 0.075 | 83.0 | · | 9.5% | 376 | 5.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 20 |
| 8 |
|
Javier Báez | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 135 | 0.141 | 84.7 | · | 11.1% | 379 | 9.5% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 4 |
| 9 |
|
Colt Keith | 15 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 233 | 0.080 | 91.4 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 25 |
Burch Smith
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Carter Jensen | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 67 | 0.233 | 91.1 | · | 24.0% | 387 | 18.2% | 0.0% | 15.9% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Vinnie Pasquantino | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.157 | 89.8 | · | 16.7% | 398 | 14.7% | 18.2% | 11.3% | 35 |
| 3 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 101 | 0.144 | 93.2 | · | 11.5% | 411 | 8.3% | 25.0% | 11.5% | 45 | |
| 4 |
|
Jac Caglianone | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 117 | 0.150 | 93.3 | · | 17.6% | 404 | 9.4% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Salvador Perez | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 118 | 0.155 | 87.9 | · | 17.4% | 396 | 13.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 42 |
| 6 |
|
Lane Thomas | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 127 | 0.070 | 85.7 | · | 0.0% | 407 | 13.3% | 18.2% | 6.1% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Isaac Collins | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 143 | 0.094 | 88.7 | · | 13.3% | 377 | 9.4% | 16.7% | 10.1% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Kyle Isbel | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 158 | 0.166 | 87.2 | · | 23.1% | 390 | 9.4% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Maikel Garcia | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 180 | 0.130 | 90.4 | · | 4.2% | 398 | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 42 |