⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
DET
@ 6:40p
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.17×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.934
Temp
61.8°F
Wind
9.2 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 87 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 9 0.273 95.8 15.1% 38.1% 394 22.7% 30.0% 34.5% 36
2 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 79 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 21 0.305 91.3 23.7% 29.6% 394 0.0% 0.0% 32.5% 36
3 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 79 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 23 0.207 89.5 17.9% 16.7% 393 13.6% 30.0% 22.7% 24
4 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 66 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 52 0.257 91.7 10.7% 33.3% 417 0.0% 0.0% 28.7% 16
5 Dane Myers Dane Myers 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 93 0.088 88.8 15.4% 10.0% 396 0.0% 0.0% 13.0% 10
6 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 115 0.116 95.5 12.8% 12.5% 379 5.0% 0.0% 7.9% 16
7 Matt McLain Matt McLain 44 ⚪ D · · 127 0.117 87.8 10.3% 8.0% 420 0.0% 0.0% 10.4% 28
8 Ke'Bryan Hayes Ke'Bryan Hayes 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 171 0.048 90.1 7.3% 5.3% 363 14.3% 14.3% 6.9% 24
9 Rece Hinds Rece Hinds 31 ⚪ D · · 192 0.107 89.5 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 15
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 86 🟢 A · · 11 0.238 91.5 18.8% 27.8% 410 16.7% 25.0% 36.4% 37
2 Riley Greene Riley Greene 70 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 42 0.179 89.8 14.5% 13.0% 406 8.0% 15.4% 23.2% 29
3 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 63 🔵 C+ · · 56 0.160 90.4 13.2% 15.8% 406 8.0% 15.4% 21.7% 26
4 Kevin McGonigle Kevin McGonigle 56 🟠 C · · 75 0.175 88.1 12.2% 3.5% 408 0.0% 0.0% 13.1% 0
5 Jahmai Jones Jahmai Jones 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 85 · 93.9 23.8% 0.0% 410 0.0% 0.0% 17.9% 15
6 Hao-Yu Lee 50 🟠 C · · 104 · 90.2 20.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 13.3% 0
7 Javier Báez Javier Báez 44 ⚪ D · · 129 0.153 85.0 3.4% 18.2% 379 9.1% 9.1% 12.4% 32
8 Matt Vierling Matt Vierling 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 156 0.167 88.1 2.5% 12.5% 350 0.0% 0.0% 12.8% 25
9 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 33 ⚪ D · · 182 0.052 83.2 5.3% 5.0% 364 4.0% 0.0% 8.6% 37
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