⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
DET
@ 11:10a
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
0.742
Temp
43.8°F
Wind
8.9 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 79 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 11 0.301 92.8 15.8% 29.4% 413 20.0% 25.0% 26.7% 34
2 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 65 🔵 C+ · · 33 0.232 93.3 14.3% 25.0% 382 20.0% 16.7% 24.0% 17
3 Riley Greene Riley Greene 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 73 0.117 89.0 12.8% 5.6% 408 4.8% 7.7% 6.0% 27
4 Kevin McGonigle Kevin McGonigle 39 ⚪ D · · 93 0.169 88.1 9.4% 4.3% 408 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 0
5 Javier Báez Javier Báez 32 ⚪ D · · 123 0.138 86.7 3.0% 14.3% 354 14.3% 14.3% 7.3% 32
6 Colt Keith Colt Keith 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 125 0.112 93.9 9.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 28
7 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 26 ⚪ D · · 139 0.045 89.8 9.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 25
8 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 23 ⚪ D · · 148 0.062 83.9 6.4% 5.3% 364 4.8% 0.0% 5.9% 40
9 Zach McKinstry Zach McKinstry 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 149 0.117 85.9 3.1% 12.5% 399 5.3% 0.0% 6.9% 21
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 66 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 31 0.206 91.1 15.8% 33.3% 399 17.6% 30.0% 19.6% 23
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 57 0.194 91.0 13.7% 15.8% 372 17.6% 0.0% 9.3% 31
3 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 92 0.106 92.1 11.9% 7.7% 391 5.9% 0.0% 5.6% 31
4 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 103 0.094 90.4 12.8% 16.7% 424 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 24
5 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 127 0.115 89.4 12.5% 8.3% 385 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 25
6 Trevor Story Trevor Story 28 ⚪ D · · 131 0.114 88.2 3.9% 15.4% 402 11.1% 10.0% 6.2% 34
7 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 19 ⚪ D · · 155 0.022 93.2 7.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 16
8 Masataka Yoshida Masataka Yoshida 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 157 0.100 95.3 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 14
9 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 15 ⚪ D · · 166 0.062 85.0 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 32
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