DET
@
11:10a
BOS
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
0.742
Temp
43.8°F
Wind
8.9 mph
out
Roof
open
Sonny Gray
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 79 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 11 | 0.301 | 92.8 | 15.8% | 29.4% | 413 | 20.0% | 25.0% | 26.7% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 33 | 0.232 | 93.3 | 14.3% | 25.0% | 382 | 20.0% | 16.7% | 24.0% | 17 |
| 3 |
|
Riley Greene | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.117 | 89.0 | 12.8% | 5.6% | 408 | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Kevin McGonigle | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 93 | 0.169 | 88.1 | 9.4% | 4.3% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 0 |
| 5 |
|
Javier Báez | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 123 | 0.138 | 86.7 | 3.0% | 14.3% | 354 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 7.3% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Colt Keith | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 125 | 0.112 | 93.9 | 9.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Spencer Torkelson ⚡ | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 139 | 0.045 | 89.8 | 9.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 148 | 0.062 | 83.9 | 6.4% | 5.3% | 364 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 40 |
| 9 |
|
Zach McKinstry ⚡ | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 149 | 0.117 | 85.9 | 3.1% | 12.5% | 399 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 21 |
Jack Flaherty
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 31 | 0.206 | 91.1 | 15.8% | 33.3% | 399 | 17.6% | 30.0% | 19.6% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 57 | 0.194 | 91.0 | 13.7% | 15.8% | 372 | 17.6% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Roman Anthony | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 92 | 0.106 | 92.1 | 11.9% | 7.7% | 391 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Jarren Duran | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 103 | 0.094 | 90.4 | 12.8% | 16.7% | 424 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 24 |
| 5 |
|
Marcelo Mayer ⚡ | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 127 | 0.115 | 89.4 | 12.5% | 8.3% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Trevor Story | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 131 | 0.114 | 88.2 | 3.9% | 15.4% | 402 | 11.1% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 19 | ⚪ D | · | · | 155 | 0.022 | 93.2 | 7.1% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 16 |
| 8 |
|
Masataka Yoshida | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 157 | 0.100 | 95.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 14 |
| 9 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 15 | ⚪ D | · | · | 166 | 0.062 | 85.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 32 |