⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
DET
@ 4:35p
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.659
Temp
51.1°F
Wind
6.0 mph
out
Roof
open
Garrett Crochet
Garrett Crochet LHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 70 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 34 0.237 93.3 14.3% 25.0% 382 21.1% 25.0% 25.9% 17
2 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 67 🔵 C+ · · 45 0.258 92.8 15.8% 28.6% 413 15.8% 16.7% 20.5% 32
3 Riley Greene Riley Greene 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 120 0.123 89.0 12.8% 5.6% 408 5.0% 7.7% 6.3% 28
4 Kevin McGonigle Kevin McGonigle 38 ⚪ D · · 151 0.169 88.1 9.4% 4.3% 408 0.0% 0.0% 9.7% 0
5 Javier Báez Javier Báez 34 ⚪ D · · 176 0.148 86.7 3.0% 14.3% 354 16.7% 16.7% 8.3% 32
6 Colt Keith Colt Keith 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 188 0.112 93.9 9.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 30
7 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 26 ⚪ D · · 210 0.048 89.8 9.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 24
8 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 23 ⚪ D · · 223 0.066 83.9 6.4% 5.9% 364 5.0% 0.0% 6.4% 40
9 Zach McKinstry Zach McKinstry 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 232 0.117 85.9 3.1% 12.5% 399 5.6% 0.0% 7.2% 21
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 52 🟠 C · · 81 0.172 91.1 15.8% 30.0% 399 12.5% 20.0% 12.8% 22
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 106 0.203 91.0 13.7% 17.6% 372 18.8% 0.0% 8.2% 32
3 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 34 ⚪ D · · 174 0.111 92.1 11.9% 7.7% 391 6.2% 0.0% 4.6% 32
4 Trevor Story Trevor Story 25 ⚪ D · · 217 0.118 88.2 3.9% 15.4% 402 11.8% 10.0% 5.1% 36
5 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 231 0.087 88.7 7.9% 14.3% 337 6.2% 0.0% 5.0% 26
6 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 13 ⚪ D · · 259 0.000 93.2 7.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 16
7 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 10 ⚪ D · · 263 0.050 85.0 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 31
8 Andruw Monasterio Andruw Monasterio 9 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 264 · 90.0 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 12
9 Isiah Kiner-Falefa Isiah Kiner-Falefa 5 ⚪ D · · 268 · 78.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 16
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