DET
@
4:35p
BOS
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.659
Temp
51.1°F
Wind
6.0 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 70 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 34 | 0.237 | 93.3 | 14.3% | 25.0% | 382 | 21.1% | 25.0% | 25.9% | 17 |
| 2 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 45 | 0.258 | 92.8 | 15.8% | 28.6% | 413 | 15.8% | 16.7% | 20.5% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Riley Greene | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 120 | 0.123 | 89.0 | 12.8% | 5.6% | 408 | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Kevin McGonigle | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 151 | 0.169 | 88.1 | 9.4% | 4.3% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 0 |
| 5 |
|
Javier Báez | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 176 | 0.148 | 86.7 | 3.0% | 14.3% | 354 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 8.3% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Colt Keith | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 188 | 0.112 | 93.9 | 9.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Spencer Torkelson ⚡ | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 210 | 0.048 | 89.8 | 9.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 223 | 0.066 | 83.9 | 6.4% | 5.9% | 364 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 40 |
| 9 |
|
Zach McKinstry ⚡ | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 232 | 0.117 | 85.9 | 3.1% | 12.5% | 399 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 21 |
Framber Valdez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 81 | 0.172 | 91.1 | 15.8% | 30.0% | 399 | 12.5% | 20.0% | 12.8% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 106 | 0.203 | 91.0 | 13.7% | 17.6% | 372 | 18.8% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Roman Anthony | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 174 | 0.111 | 92.1 | 11.9% | 7.7% | 391 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 4.6% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Trevor Story | 25 | ⚪ D | · | · | 217 | 0.118 | 88.2 | 3.9% | 15.4% | 402 | 11.8% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 231 | 0.087 | 88.7 | 7.9% | 14.3% | 337 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 13 | ⚪ D | · | · | 259 | 0.000 | 93.2 | 7.1% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 10 | ⚪ D | · | · | 263 | 0.050 | 85.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Andruw Monasterio | 9 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 264 | · | 90.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 12 |
| 9 |
|
Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 5 | ⚪ D | · | · | 268 | · | 78.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 16 |