DET
@
4:10p
BOS
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.659
Temp
55.9°F
Wind
7.4 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 71 | 🟡 B | · | · | 38 | 0.268 | 92.8 | 15.8% | 33.3% | 413 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 21.1% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 58 | 0.193 | 93.3 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 382 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 18.6% | 19 |
| 3 |
|
Riley Greene | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 110 | 0.126 | 89.0 | 12.8% | 5.9% | 408 | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Kevin McGonigle | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 138 | 0.180 | 88.1 | 9.4% | 4.3% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 0 |
| 5 |
|
Javier Báez | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 171 | 0.140 | 86.7 | 3.0% | 16.7% | 354 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 7.5% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Colt Keith | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 190 | 0.116 | 93.9 | 9.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Spencer Torkelson ⚡ | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 198 | 0.051 | 89.8 | 9.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Zach McKinstry ⚡ | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 200 | 0.117 | 85.9 | 3.1% | 12.5% | 399 | 5.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 216 | 0.071 | 83.9 | 6.4% | 5.9% | 364 | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 40 |
Tarik Skubal
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 80 | 0.184 | 91.1 | 15.8% | 30.0% | 399 | 13.3% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 101 | 0.215 | 91.0 | 13.7% | 17.6% | 372 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Roman Anthony | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 185 | 0.116 | 92.1 | 11.9% | 7.7% | 391 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Jarren Duran | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 199 | 0.094 | 90.4 | 12.8% | 16.7% | 424 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Marcelo Mayer ⚡ | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 219 | 0.118 | 89.4 | 12.5% | 8.3% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Trevor Story | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 222 | 0.123 | 88.2 | 3.9% | 15.4% | 402 | 12.5% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 243 | 0.075 | 88.7 | 7.9% | 16.7% | 337 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 251 | 0.000 | 93.2 | 7.1% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 19 |
| 9 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 10 | ⚪ D | · | · | 267 | 0.052 | 85.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 33 |