DET
@
7:15p
BOS
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
mild air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.742
Temp
65.2°F
Wind
9.5 mph
in
Roof
open
Ranger Suarez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 72 | 🟡 B | · | · | 32 | 0.283 | 92.8 | 15.8% | 33.3% | 413 | 17.6% | 18.2% | 28.1% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 60 | 0.193 | 93.3 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 382 | 17.6% | 27.3% | 19.8% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Riley Greene | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 103 | 0.129 | 89.0 | 12.8% | 6.2% | 408 | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Kevin McGonigle | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 125 | 0.191 | 88.1 | 9.4% | 4.5% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 0 |
| 5 |
|
Javier Báez | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 133 | 0.149 | 86.7 | 3.0% | 16.7% | 354 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 8.5% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Colt Keith | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 182 | 0.116 | 93.9 | 9.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Spencer Torkelson ⚡ | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 190 | 0.055 | 89.8 | 9.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Zach McKinstry ⚡ | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 207 | 0.117 | 85.9 | 3.1% | 12.5% | 399 | 6.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 28 |
| 9 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 25 | ⚪ D | · | · | 214 | 0.074 | 83.9 | 6.4% | 5.9% | 364 | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 40 |
Casey Mize
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 57 | 0.193 | 91.1 | 15.8% | 37.5% | 399 | 14.3% | 22.2% | 19.9% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 75 | 0.228 | 91.0 | 13.7% | 20.0% | 372 | 21.4% | 0.0% | 12.7% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Roman Anthony | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 140 | 0.123 | 92.1 | 11.9% | 9.1% | 391 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Jarren Duran | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 170 | 0.100 | 90.4 | 12.8% | 16.7% | 424 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Marcelo Mayer ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 175 | 0.125 | 89.4 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Trevor Story | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 195 | 0.130 | 88.2 | 3.9% | 15.4% | 402 | 13.3% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 206 | 0.080 | 88.7 | 7.9% | 16.7% | 337 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Connor Wong | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 208 | 0.200 | 89.4 | 0.0% | 12.5% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 9 |
| 9 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 8 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 259 | 0.037 | 85.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 33 |