DET
@
7:15p
BAL
Park Factor
1.10×
Weather Mod
-4.0%
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.659
Temp
60.8°F
Wind
11.5 mph
in
Roof
open
Jack Flaherty
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 79 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 13 | 0.262 | 88.9 | 9.7% | 22.2% | 399 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 34.7% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Pete Alonso | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +850 | · | 24 | 0.206 | 94.9 | 13.0% | 23.3% | 391 | 16.3% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 26 | 0.202 | 92.7 | 11.2% | 28.6% | 404 | 15.2% | 18.2% | 30.6% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +900 | · | 48 | 0.196 | 89.8 | 9.5% | 16.7% | 389 | 19.1% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Coby Mayo | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 51 | 0.147 | 90.9 | 8.2% | 12.5% | 417 | 11.4% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 68 | 0.162 | 89.1 | 8.4% | 23.1% | 396 | 11.4% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Dylan Beavers | 40 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 152 | 0.126 | 87.4 | 5.2% | 14.3% | 406 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 12.0% | 5 |
| 8 |
|
Taylor Ward | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 178 | 0.112 | 89.0 | 4.6% | 4.2% | 390 | 4.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 26 |
| 9 |
|
Leody Taveras | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 199 | 0.128 | 87.0 | 4.7% | 15.8% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 20 |
Chris Bassitt
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 74 | 🟡 B | · | · | 21 | 0.241 | 90.4 | 13.6% | 31.0% | 401 | 17.4% | 23.1% | 23.6% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 35 | 0.235 | 92.0 | 10.9% | 24.0% | 382 | 12.2% | 0.0% | 23.5% | 2 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 56 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 67 | 0.183 | 90.5 | 13.6% | 18.8% | 400 | 14.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Riley Greene | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 74 | 0.159 | 90.7 | 13.0% | 10.3% | 409 | 6.1% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Vierling | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 84 | 0.150 | 87.5 | 5.8% | 14.3% | 370 | 12.5% | 16.7% | 7.7% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Kevin McGonigle ⚡ | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 132 | 0.140 | 88.5 | 9.7% | 4.3% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 174 | 0.069 | 83.0 | 6.3% | 9.5% | 376 | 4.7% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Wenceel Pérez | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 211 | 0.089 | 87.1 | 6.7% | 17.6% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Colt Keith | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 230 | 0.066 | 89.3 | 4.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 24 |