DET
@
12:15p
ATL
Park Factor
1.11×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.107
Temp
59.3°F
Wind
11.5 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Framber Valdez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 87 | 🟢 A | · | · | 5 | 0.330 | 92.1 | 17.7% | 14.3% | 416 | 27.6% | 33.3% | 24.5% | 39 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 83 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 10 | 0.220 | 95.4 | 19.7% | 16.7% | 391 | 17.9% | 27.3% | 22.6% | 36 | |
| 3 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 21 | 0.197 | 90.5 | 15.9% | 31.8% | 400 | 24.1% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 41 | 0.216 | 86.2 | 3.3% | 18.2% | 379 | 20.7% | 25.0% | 18.6% | 45 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 54 | 0.219 | 89.5 | 8.8% | 22.2% | 398 | 12.0% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 58 | 0.130 | 88.6 | 13.4% | 0.0% | 411 | 13.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 32 |
| 7 |
|
Austin Riley | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 83 | 0.128 | 90.4 | 9.0% | 33.3% | 385 | 6.9% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 125 | 0.151 | 87.2 | 6.8% | 0.0% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 31 |
| 9 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 132 | 0.068 | 91.2 | 3.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 22 |
Bryce Elder
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 72 | 🟡 B | · | · | 20 | 0.220 | 91.5 | 18.8% | 35.3% | 410 | 14.8% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 72 | 🟡 B | · | · | 22 | 0.272 | 93.2 | 12.2% | 27.3% | 382 | 18.5% | 20.0% | 30.4% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 23 | 0.219 | 90.4 | 13.2% | 29.4% | 406 | 17.2% | 41.7% | 20.6% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Riley Greene | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 34 | 0.182 | 89.8 | 14.5% | 8.7% | 406 | 10.3% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Kevin McGonigle | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 68 | 0.185 | 88.1 | 12.2% | 5.7% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Javier Báez | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 114 | 0.141 | 85.0 | 3.4% | 11.1% | 379 | 14.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Vierling | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 127 | 0.140 | 88.1 | 2.5% | 11.1% | 350 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Colt Keith | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 130 | 0.080 | 94.2 | 8.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 26 |
| 9 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 142 | 0.075 | 83.2 | 5.3% | 10.0% | 364 | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 35 |