⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
DET
@ 12:15p
ATL
Truist Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.11×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.107
Temp
59.3°F
Wind
11.5 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 87 🟢 A · · 5 0.330 92.1 17.7% 14.3% 416 27.6% 33.3% 24.5% 39
2 Michael Harris II 83 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 10 0.220 95.4 19.7% 16.7% 391 17.9% 27.3% 22.6% 36
3 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 72 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 21 0.197 90.5 15.9% 31.8% 400 24.1% 16.7% 15.7% 38
4 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 41 0.216 86.2 3.3% 18.2% 379 20.7% 25.0% 18.6% 45
5 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 54 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 54 0.219 89.5 8.8% 22.2% 398 12.0% 9.1% 14.5% 20
6 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 53 🟠 C · · 58 0.130 88.6 13.4% 0.0% 411 13.3% 8.3% 5.3% 32
7 Austin Riley Austin Riley 46 ⚪ D · · 83 0.128 90.4 9.0% 33.3% 385 6.9% 8.3% 13.0% 31
8 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 125 0.151 87.2 6.8% 0.0% 393 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 31
9 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 132 0.068 91.2 3.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 22
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 72 🟡 B · · 20 0.220 91.5 18.8% 35.3% 410 14.8% 18.2% 14.8% 35
2 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 72 🟡 B · · 22 0.272 93.2 12.2% 27.3% 382 18.5% 20.0% 30.4% 21
3 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 72 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 23 0.219 90.4 13.2% 29.4% 406 17.2% 41.7% 20.6% 29
4 Riley Greene Riley Greene 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 34 0.182 89.8 14.5% 8.7% 406 10.3% 16.7% 16.7% 30
5 Kevin McGonigle Kevin McGonigle 50 🟠 C · · 68 0.185 88.1 12.2% 5.7% 408 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 0
6 Javier Báez Javier Báez 37 ⚪ D · · 114 0.141 85.0 3.4% 11.1% 379 14.3% 9.1% 6.1% 27
7 Matt Vierling Matt Vierling 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 127 0.140 88.1 2.5% 11.1% 350 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 31
8 Colt Keith Colt Keith 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 130 0.080 94.2 8.3% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 26
9 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 142 0.075 83.2 5.3% 10.0% 364 6.9% 8.3% 5.5% 35
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