COL
@
12:40p
CIN
Park Factor
1.26×
Weather Mod
-6.0%
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.504
Temp
44.6°F
Wind
13.8 mph
in
Roof
open
Andrew Abbott
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 93 | 🔥 A+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 3 | 0.318 | 93.2 | 13.2% | 40.0% | 402 | 25.0% | 33.3% | 46.3% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 85 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 8 | 0.345 | 90.4 | 12.5% | 32.0% | 416 | 20.0% | 14.3% | 45.0% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Edouard Julien | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 63 | 0.141 | 90.2 | 8.7% | 18.2% | 375 | 7.7% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 28 |
| 4 | TJ Rumfield | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 75 | 0.154 | 86.4 | 9.0% | 13.6% | 417 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.9% | 33 | |
| 5 |
|
Willi Castro | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 89 | 0.110 | 88.0 | 7.1% | 7.1% | 436 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Kyle Karros | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 90 | 0.068 | 90.2 | 6.8% | 9.1% | 448 | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 32 |
| 7 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 100 | 0.097 | 88.3 | 8.8% | 4.8% | 401 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Troy Johnston | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 110 | 0.142 | 89.8 | 3.1% | 13.3% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 121 | 0.073 | 90.3 | 4.4% | 8.3% | 408 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 21 |
Michael Lorenzen
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 86 | 🟢 A | · | · | 6 | 0.292 | 95.8 | 15.1% | 27.8% | 394 | 23.1% | 20.0% | 50.2% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 86 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 7 | 0.306 | 91.7 | 10.7% | 44.4% | 417 | 50.0% | 66.7% | 51.6% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 83 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 9 | 0.298 | 91.3 | 23.7% | 25.9% | 394 | 7.7% | 10.0% | 23.8% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Steer | 77 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 16 | 0.213 | 89.5 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 393 | 11.5% | 10.0% | 23.4% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Ke'Bryan Hayes | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 62 | 0.078 | 90.1 | 7.3% | 0.0% | 363 | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 74 | 0.116 | 95.5 | 12.8% | 14.3% | 379 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Matt McLain | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 78 | 0.109 | 87.8 | 10.3% | 4.5% | 420 | 3.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Eugenio Suárez | 40 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 101 | 0.132 | 84.8 | 8.2% | 18.2% | 397 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 18 |
| 9 |
|
TJ Friedl | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 111 | 0.068 | 86.5 | 1.5% | 5.6% | · | 4.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 33 |