COL
@
6:40p
CIN
Park Factor
1.28×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.148
Temp
59.0°F
Wind
4.6 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Tomoyuki Sugano
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 91 | 🔥 A+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.299 | 95.8 | 15.1% | 27.8% | 394 | 24.0% | 22.2% | 39.6% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 90 | 🔥 A+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 5 | 0.319 | 91.7 | 10.7% | 44.4% | 417 | 66.7% | 100.0% | 40.4% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 89 | 🟢 A | · | · | 6 | 0.308 | 91.3 | 23.7% | 25.9% | 394 | 8.3% | 11.1% | 46.5% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Steer | 80 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 15 | 0.218 | 89.5 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 393 | 12.0% | 11.1% | 27.7% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Ke'Bryan Hayes | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 100 | 0.082 | 90.1 | 7.3% | 0.0% | 363 | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Matt McLain | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 101 | 0.114 | 87.8 | 10.3% | 4.5% | 420 | 4.0% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 46 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 119 | 0.103 | 95.5 | 12.8% | 14.3% | 379 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 12.1% | 20 |
| 8 |
|
Eugenio Suárez | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 126 | 0.132 | 84.8 | 8.2% | 18.2% | 397 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 12.8% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
TJ Friedl | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 169 | 0.071 | 86.5 | 1.5% | 5.6% | · | 4.2% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 35 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 87 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 7 | 0.270 | 93.2 | 13.2% | 40.0% | 402 | 21.7% | 27.3% | 42.0% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 81 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 14 | 0.345 | 90.4 | 12.5% | 32.0% | 416 | 20.8% | 15.4% | 51.7% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Edouard Julien | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 79 | 0.141 | 90.2 | 8.7% | 18.2% | 375 | 8.0% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 30 |
| 4 | TJ Rumfield | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 111 | 0.153 | 86.4 | 9.0% | 13.6% | 417 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.7% | 35 | |
| 5 |
|
Willi Castro | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 125 | 0.102 | 88.0 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 436 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 11 |
| 6 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 141 | 0.101 | 88.3 | 8.8% | 4.8% | 401 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Kyle Karros | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 142 | 0.072 | 90.2 | 6.8% | 10.0% | 448 | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Troy Johnston | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 170 | 0.142 | 89.8 | 3.1% | 13.3% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.6% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 178 | 0.065 | 90.3 | 4.4% | 8.3% | 408 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 19 |