⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
COL
@ 6:40p
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.28×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.148
Temp
59.0°F
Wind
4.6 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 91 🔥 A+ · 🌤️ WARM 4 0.299 95.8 15.1% 27.8% 394 24.0% 22.2% 39.6% 34
2 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 90 🔥 A+ · 🌤️ WARM 5 0.319 91.7 10.7% 44.4% 417 66.7% 100.0% 40.4% 24
3 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 89 🟢 A · · 6 0.308 91.3 23.7% 25.9% 394 8.3% 11.1% 46.5% 39
4 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 80 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 15 0.218 89.5 17.9% 10.0% 393 12.0% 11.1% 27.7% 27
5 Ke'Bryan Hayes Ke'Bryan Hayes 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 100 0.082 90.1 7.3% 0.0% 363 10.0% 11.1% 8.7% 24
6 Matt McLain Matt McLain 50 🟠 C · · 101 0.114 87.8 10.3% 4.5% 420 4.0% 11.1% 14.0% 28
7 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 46 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 119 0.103 95.5 12.8% 14.3% 379 4.5% 0.0% 12.1% 20
8 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 126 0.132 84.8 8.2% 18.2% 397 10.0% 0.0% 12.8% 22
9 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 169 0.071 86.5 1.5% 5.6% · 4.2% 12.5% 8.7% 35
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman 87 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 7 0.270 93.2 13.2% 40.0% 402 21.7% 27.3% 42.0% 24
2 Mickey Moniak Mickey Moniak 81 🟢 A · 🌧️ COOL 14 0.345 90.4 12.5% 32.0% 416 20.8% 15.4% 51.7% 34
3 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 53 🟠 C · · 79 0.141 90.2 8.7% 18.2% 375 8.0% 8.3% 14.2% 30
4 TJ Rumfield 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 111 0.153 86.4 9.0% 13.6% 417 0.0% 0.0% 14.7% 35
5 Willi Castro Willi Castro 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 125 0.102 88.0 7.1% 8.3% 436 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 11
6 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 141 0.101 88.3 8.8% 4.8% 401 4.0% 0.0% 7.9% 29
7 Kyle Karros Kyle Karros 42 ⚪ D · · 142 0.072 90.2 6.8% 10.0% 448 6.2% 7.7% 9.1% 30
8 Troy Johnston Troy Johnston 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 170 0.142 89.8 3.1% 13.3% 415 0.0% 0.0% 13.6% 34
9 Brenton Doyle Brenton Doyle 36 ⚪ D · · 178 0.065 90.3 4.4% 8.3% 408 4.3% 0.0% 8.8% 19
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