⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
CIN
@
TEX
Globe Life Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.84×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · steady wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.672
Temp
49.7°F
Wind
8.1 mph
in
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corey Seager Corey Seager 63 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 21 0.216 92.9 12.1% 20.0% 400 42.9% 42.9% 12.8% 15
2 Jake Burger Jake Burger 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 73 0.183 90.4 11.5% 13.6% 406 28.6% 28.6% 10.5% 17
3 Adolis Garcia Adolis Garcia 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 115 0.168 92.1 10.5% 10.9% 403 16.7% 16.7% 9.4% 17
4 Wyatt Langford Wyatt Langford 40 ⚪ D · · 161 0.190 91.4 11.5% 15.1% 393 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 19
5 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 38 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 176 0.134 88.3 8.0% 8.5% 391 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 19
6 Kyle Higashioka Kyle Higashioka 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 188 0.162 88.9 9.0% 10.9% 386 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 10
7 Josh Jung Josh Jung 30 ⚪ D · · 214 0.139 89.3 8.8% 10.8% 387 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 18
8 Josh Smith Josh Smith 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 244 0.115 87.2 6.9% 7.1% 389 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 16
9 Jonah Heim Jonah Heim 20 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 247 0.119 88.1 7.6% 9.0% 381 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 10
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 57 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 49 0.176 91.0 10.5% 15.7% 405 28.6% 28.6% 10.3% 18
2 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 103 0.191 90.5 12.5% 18.3% 387 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 12
3 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 47 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 116 0.173 87.3 9.1% 12.1% 388 0.0% 0.0% 9.0% 20
4 Austin Hays Austin Hays 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 129 0.187 88.8 10.6% 14.7% 396 14.3% 14.3% 9.9% 17
5 Noelvi Marte Noelvi Marte 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 141 0.186 88.5 9.9% 15.4% 406 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 14
6 Matt McLain Matt McLain 42 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 148 0.124 88.8 9.1% 9.9% 391 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 21
7 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 209 0.117 87.1 5.4% 8.2% 385 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 16
8 Gavin Lux Gavin Lux 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 233 0.105 88.3 6.2% 5.3% 370 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 6
9 Santiago Espinal Santiago Espinal 22 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 242 0.040 86.5 2.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 15
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