CIN
@
—
TEX
Park Factor
0.84×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · steady wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.672
Temp
49.7°F
Wind
8.1 mph
in
Roof
retractable
Chase Burns
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corey Seager | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 21 | 0.216 | 92.9 | 12.1% | 20.0% | 400 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 12.8% | 15 |
| 2 |
|
Jake Burger | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.183 | 90.4 | 11.5% | 13.6% | 406 | 28.6% | 28.6% | 10.5% | 17 |
| 3 |
|
Adolis Garcia | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 115 | 0.168 | 92.1 | 10.5% | 10.9% | 403 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 9.4% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Wyatt Langford | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 161 | 0.190 | 91.4 | 11.5% | 15.1% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Marcus Semien | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 176 | 0.134 | 88.3 | 8.0% | 8.5% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Kyle Higashioka | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 188 | 0.162 | 88.9 | 9.0% | 10.9% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 10 |
| 7 |
|
Josh Jung | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 214 | 0.139 | 89.3 | 8.8% | 10.8% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 18 |
| 8 |
|
Josh Smith | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 244 | 0.115 | 87.2 | 6.9% | 7.1% | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 16 |
| 9 |
|
Jonah Heim | 20 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 247 | 0.119 | 88.1 | 7.6% | 9.0% | 381 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 10 |
Jack Leiter
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 49 | 0.176 | 91.0 | 10.5% | 15.7% | 405 | 28.6% | 28.6% | 10.3% | 18 |
| 2 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 103 | 0.191 | 90.5 | 12.5% | 18.3% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 12 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Steer | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 116 | 0.173 | 87.3 | 9.1% | 12.1% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 20 |
| 4 |
|
Austin Hays | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 129 | 0.187 | 88.8 | 10.6% | 14.7% | 396 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Noelvi Marte | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 141 | 0.186 | 88.5 | 9.9% | 15.4% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Matt McLain | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 148 | 0.124 | 88.8 | 9.1% | 9.9% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
TJ Friedl | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 209 | 0.117 | 87.1 | 5.4% | 8.2% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 16 |
| 8 |
|
Gavin Lux | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 233 | 0.105 | 88.3 | 6.2% | 5.3% | 370 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 6 |
| 9 |
|
Santiago Espinal | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 242 | 0.040 | 86.5 | 2.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 15 |