⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
CIN
@ 2:10p
MIN
Target Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.86×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cold air · strong wind out · roof open
Combined
0.952
Temp
28.8°F
Wind
14.1 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 67 🔵 C+ · · 47 0.282 94.7 15.2% 40.0% 377 22.2% 16.7% 22.1% 35
2 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 64 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 51 0.357 93.4 21.3% 35.0% 391 0.0% 0.0% 21.9% 36
3 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 55 🟠 C · · 75 0.191 87.6 17.9% 16.7% 394 11.1% 16.7% 10.9% 30
4 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 133 0.139 94.9 12.0% 14.3% 379 6.2% 10.0% 7.2% 16
5 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 170 0.157 85.6 10.3% 27.3% 421 20.0% 0.0% 7.3% 32
6 Will Benson Will Benson 20 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 242 0.100 89.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.6% 12
7 Ke'Bryan Hayes Ke'Bryan Hayes 18 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 248 0.000 91.3 5.3% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 25
8 Matt McLain Matt McLain 13 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 261 0.042 87.7 8.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.1% 32
9 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 6 ⚪ D · · 270 0.000 84.1 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 37
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 61 0.195 89.8 14.9% 15.0% 420 11.8% 18.2% 18.3% 35
2 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 54 🟠 C · · 79 0.222 92.9 12.5% 33.3% 378 12.5% 0.0% 13.7% 11
3 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 100 0.163 92.7 15.6% 18.2% 403 12.5% 18.2% 13.9% 27
4 Josh Bell Josh Bell 46 ⚪ D · · 114 0.209 89.6 11.4% 17.6% 392 0.0% 0.0% 12.0% 37
5 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 43 ⚪ D · · 135 0.155 89.4 8.8% 33.3% 413 17.6% 9.1% 9.9% 24
6 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 144 0.176 88.2 5.1% 23.1% 367 18.8% 27.3% 17.0% 38
7 Austin Martin Austin Martin 34 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 186 0.125 83.2 3.7% 14.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 25
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 215 0.065 84.9 3.4% 5.9% 367 5.9% 9.1% 6.2% 39
9 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 231 0.069 88.9 6.7% 12.5% 423 5.9% 10.0% 7.0% 34
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