CIN
@
8:10p
MIN
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
+5.0%
cool air · strong wind out · roof open
Combined
1.344
Temp
60.5°F
Wind
15.0 mph
out
Roof
open
Joe Ryan
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 38 | 0.280 | 94.7 | 15.2% | 40.0% | 377 | 23.5% | 18.2% | 25.4% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Sal Stewart | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 45 | 0.379 | 93.4 | 21.3% | 36.8% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.5% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Steer | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 61 | 0.200 | 87.6 | 17.9% | 17.6% | 394 | 11.8% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 106 | 0.150 | 94.9 | 12.0% | 15.4% | 379 | 6.7% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Eugenio Suárez ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 142 | 0.152 | 85.6 | 10.3% | 27.3% | 421 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Will Benson | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 228 | 0.107 | 89.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 11 |
| 7 |
|
Ke'Bryan Hayes | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 235 | 0.000 | 91.3 | 5.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Matt McLain ⚡ | 15 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 247 | 0.045 | 87.7 | 8.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 36 |
| 9 |
|
TJ Friedl | 7 | ⚪ D | · | · | 261 | 0.000 | 84.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 34 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 43 | 0.206 | 89.8 | 14.9% | 16.7% | 420 | 12.5% | 20.0% | 20.8% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Royce Lewis | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 55 | 0.222 | 92.9 | 12.5% | 33.3% | 378 | 13.3% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 13 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan Jeffers | 56 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 71 | 0.178 | 92.7 | 15.6% | 22.2% | 403 | 13.3% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Josh Bell | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 83 | 0.222 | 89.6 | 11.4% | 18.8% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.6% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Brooks Lee | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 96 | 0.185 | 88.2 | 5.1% | 27.3% | 367 | 20.0% | 30.0% | 20.4% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Matt Wallner | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 108 | 0.162 | 89.4 | 8.8% | 33.3% | 413 | 18.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Austin Martin | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 154 | 0.131 | 83.2 | 3.7% | 14.3% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 22 |
| 8 |
|
Victor Caratini | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 191 | 0.074 | 88.9 | 6.7% | 14.3% | 423 | 6.2% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 31 |
| 9 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 193 | 0.070 | 84.9 | 3.4% | 6.2% | 367 | 6.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 41 |