CIN
@
7:40p
CHC
Park Factor
1.06×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.850
Temp
53.1°F
Wind
3 mph
cross
Roof
open
Colin Rea
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 3 | 0.306 | 91.1 | · | 46.2% | 393 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 32.8% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 27 | 0.292 | 93.8 | · | 21.7% | 394 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 23.2% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 45 | 0.298 | 90.6 | · | 25.0% | 391 | 5.3% | 9.1% | 16.9% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Steer | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 82 | 0.213 | 90.0 | · | 8.7% | 396 | 9.4% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Ke'Bryan Hayes | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 128 | 0.078 | 91.3 | · | 5.3% | 365 | 12.5% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
TJ Friedl | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 136 | 0.068 | 88.0 | · | 9.5% | 364 | 6.5% | 20.0% | 8.9% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
Eugenio Suárez | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 164 | 0.132 | 84.8 | · | 18.2% | 397 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 3 |
| 8 |
|
Matt McLain | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 172 | 0.109 | 87.7 | · | 4.0% | 420 | 3.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 29 |
| 9 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 197 | 0.116 | 93.0 | · | 10.0% | 379 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 21 |
Brady Singer
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 18 | 0.282 | 90.4 | · | 31.6% | 390 | 14.3% | 16.7% | 36.7% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Ian Happ | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 33 | 0.230 | 88.9 | · | 31.6% | 397 | 25.7% | 15.4% | 29.9% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 53 | 0.225 | 90.4 | · | 14.3% | 393 | 17.1% | 7.7% | 18.7% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 71 | 0.121 | 91.8 | · | 10.0% | 385 | 8.8% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Michael Busch | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 90 | 0.088 | 86.9 | · | 10.7% | 408 | 8.6% | 23.1% | 15.0% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Matt Shaw | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 92 | 0.206 | 86.8 | · | 25.0% | 357 | 13.3% | 8.3% | 19.4% | 20 |
| 7 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 131 | 0.158 | 86.4 | · | 7.4% | 383 | 11.4% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 46 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Bregman | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 137 | 0.113 | 89.8 | · | 21.7% | 395 | 6.1% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 41 |
| 9 |
|
Carson Kelly | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 182 | 0.133 | 91.5 | · | 0.0% | 414 | 6.1% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 24 |