CIN
@
7:40p
CHC
Park Factor
1.08×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.080
Temp
64.4°F
Wind
10.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
Edward Cabrera
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 2 | 0.306 | 91.3 | · | 41.7% | 391 | 37.5% | 42.9% | 38.7% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 6 | 0.292 | 94.4 | · | 22.7% | 394 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 35.9% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 15 | 0.298 | 91.3 | · | 25.0% | 391 | 5.9% | 10.0% | 20.5% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Steer | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 34 | 0.213 | 90.3 | · | 9.1% | 396 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
TJ Friedl | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 90 | 0.068 | 87.8 | · | 10.0% | 364 | 6.9% | 22.2% | 11.2% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Ke'Bryan Hayes | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 96 | 0.078 | 91.8 | · | 0.0% | 363 | 7.1% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Eugenio Suárez | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 117 | 0.132 | 84.8 | · | 18.2% | 397 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 8 |
| 8 |
|
Matt McLain | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 126 | 0.109 | 87.5 | · | 4.3% | 420 | 3.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 142 | 0.116 | 93.5 | · | 10.5% | 379 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 22 |
Chase Petty
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 58 | 🟠 C | · | · | 7 | 0.282 | 90.9 | · | 31.6% | 390 | 15.4% | 14.3% | 32.0% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Ian Happ | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 19 | 0.230 | 89.3 | · | 31.6% | 397 | 27.3% | 15.4% | 23.6% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 25 | 0.225 | 90.5 | · | 16.7% | 393 | 18.2% | 15.4% | 19.6% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 38 | 0.121 | 91.7 | · | 11.1% | 385 | 9.4% | 16.7% | 9.9% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Shaw | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 62 | 0.206 | 86.8 | · | 25.0% | 357 | 14.3% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Alex Bregman | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 72 | 0.113 | 89.6 | · | 21.7% | 395 | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 41 |
| 7 |
|
Michael Busch | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 73 | 0.088 | 86.2 | · | 8.0% | 398 | 6.1% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 79 | 0.158 | 86.4 | · | 7.4% | 383 | 12.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 45 |
| 9 |
|
Carson Kelly | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 118 | 0.133 | 91.6 | · | 0.0% | 414 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 25 |