CHC
@
7:15p
STL
Park Factor
1.10×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.211
Temp
79°F
Wind
3.4 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Kyle Leahy
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 78 | 🟡 B | · | · | 9 | 0.237 | 90.0 | 14.0% | 31.2% | 398 | 25.5% | 27.3% | 38.8% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Michael Busch ⚡ | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 34 | 0.161 | 88.5 | 12.1% | 13.6% | 398 | 10.5% | 23.1% | 21.6% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 71 | 0.132 | 91.3 | 10.5% | 12.5% | 386 | 10.7% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 79 | 0.191 | 91.0 | 11.5% | 23.1% | 390 | 6.1% | 0.0% | 17.1% | 11 |
| 5 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 123 | 0.157 | 88.9 | 9.0% | 24.0% | 414 | 8.1% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Dansby Swanson ⚡ | 46 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 133 | 0.145 | 89.8 | 9.6% | 12.1% | 398 | 12.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 40 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 170 | 0.139 | 88.5 | 7.9% | 17.1% | 390 | 5.5% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 44 |
| 8 |
|
Carson Kelly ⚡ | 36 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 195 | 0.093 | 89.2 | 9.2% | 0.0% | 414 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 33 | ⚪ D | +900 | 🌧️ COOL | 213 | 0.111 | 85.1 | 4.1% | 5.4% | 383 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 46 |
Ben Brown
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 65 | 🔵 C+ | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 30 | 0.281 | 94.3 | 10.0% | 34.3% | 406 | 20.9% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Iván Herrera | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 64 | 0.169 | 89.6 | 7.0% | 18.2% | 404 | 16.7% | 27.3% | 17.7% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
JJ Wetherholt | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 130 | 0.157 | 90.7 | 7.4% | 18.9% | 394 | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Bryan Torres | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 141 | 0.152 | 87.8 | 7.2% | 13.6% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Alec Burleson | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 148 | 0.164 | 91.2 | 8.0% | 16.2% | 408 | 13.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 193 | 0.125 | 89.2 | 7.8% | 13.2% | 409 | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Masyn Winn | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 241 | 0.082 | 86.8 | 4.3% | 6.2% | 373 | 1.9% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Jimmy Crooks | 19 | ⚪ D | +900 | · | 255 | 0.000 | 84.5 | 5.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 0 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Scott II | 16 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 259 | 0.064 | 87.2 | 2.4% | 9.1% | 406 | 1.9% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 26 |