⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
CHC
@ 7:15p
STL
Busch Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.10×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.211
Temp
79°F
Wind
3.4 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 78 🟡 B · · 9 0.237 90.0 14.0% 31.2% 398 25.5% 27.3% 38.8% 28
2 Michael Busch Michael Busch 64 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 34 0.161 88.5 12.1% 13.6% 398 10.5% 23.1% 21.6% 34
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 57 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 71 0.132 91.3 10.5% 12.5% 386 10.7% 15.4% 13.9% 30
4 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 55 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 79 0.191 91.0 11.5% 23.1% 390 6.1% 0.0% 17.1% 11
5 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 123 0.157 88.9 9.0% 24.0% 414 8.1% 0.0% 11.3% 35
6 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 46 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 133 0.145 89.8 9.6% 12.1% 398 12.5% 8.3% 9.0% 27
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 40 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 170 0.139 88.5 7.9% 17.1% 390 5.5% 0.0% 9.2% 44
8 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 195 0.093 89.2 9.2% 0.0% 414 4.0% 0.0% 6.5% 24
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 33 ⚪ D +900 🌧️ COOL 213 0.111 85.1 4.1% 5.4% 383 7.1% 0.0% 7.3% 46
Ben Brown
Ben Brown RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 65 🔵 C+ +950 🌧️ COOL 30 0.281 94.3 10.0% 34.3% 406 20.9% 15.4% 20.2% 36
2 Iván Herrera Iván Herrera 58 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 64 0.169 89.6 7.0% 18.2% 404 16.7% 27.3% 17.7% 32
3 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 130 0.157 90.7 7.4% 18.9% 394 8.1% 9.1% 8.4% 32
4 Bryan Torres Bryan Torres 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 141 0.152 87.8 7.2% 13.6% 377 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 39
5 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 148 0.164 91.2 8.0% 16.2% 408 13.2% 7.7% 8.5% 34
6 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 193 0.125 89.2 7.8% 13.2% 409 8.0% 10.0% 7.0% 19
7 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 241 0.082 86.8 4.3% 6.2% 373 1.9% 0.0% 6.8% 24
8 Jimmy Crooks Jimmy Crooks 19 ⚪ D +900 · 255 0.000 84.5 5.3% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 0
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 16 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 259 0.064 87.2 2.4% 9.1% 406 1.9% 0.0% 6.1% 26
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