CHC
@
6:40p
PIT
Park Factor
0.81×
Weather Mod
+6.0%
warm air · strong wind out · roof open
Combined
1.302
Temp
73.3°F
Wind
20.7 mph
out
Roof
open
Colin Rea
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 8 | 0.272 | 90.0 | 12.6% | 25.6% | 396 | 15.9% | 25.0% | 23.0% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 21 | 0.202 | 96.4 | 13.7% | 30.8% | 410 | 21.3% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 24 | 0.191 | 86.0 | 8.2% | 21.2% | 383 | 9.3% | 27.3% | 17.1% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Henry Davis | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 31 | 0.158 | 90.5 | 10.3% | 28.6% | 397 | 8.7% | 22.2% | 16.4% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 38 | 0.161 | 90.3 | 9.0% | 19.4% | 392 | 13.8% | 20.0% | 14.1% | 8 |
| 6 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 59 | 0.112 | 89.8 | 9.9% | 12.0% | 408 | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 72 | 0.132 | 90.6 | 9.3% | 11.1% | 415 | 8.2% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 42 |
| 8 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 74 | 0.116 | 87.4 | 9.9% | 18.8% | 393 | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 106 | 0.053 | 85.9 | 4.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 34 |
Paul Skenes
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 35 | 0.220 | 89.9 | 8.9% | 30.8% | 397 | 22.6% | 18.2% | 19.3% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Michael Busch | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 47 | 0.165 | 88.7 | 8.0% | 14.3% | 398 | 10.9% | 23.1% | 13.5% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Miguel Amaya | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 52 | 0.232 | 86.5 | 5.9% | 31.2% | 384 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 19.5% | 16 |
| 4 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.133 | 91.5 | 6.7% | 12.9% | 386 | 11.1% | 15.4% | 8.3% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 77 | 0.197 | 91.0 | 7.5% | 23.1% | 390 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 12 |
| 6 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 86 | 0.168 | 88.9 | 6.0% | 24.0% | 414 | 8.6% | 0.0% | 10.4% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 91 | 0.141 | 88.9 | 5.3% | 18.2% | 390 | 5.7% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 44 |
| 8 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 93 | 0.145 | 89.7 | 6.3% | 12.5% | 398 | 13.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 29 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 13 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 107 | 0.116 | 85.0 | 2.7% | 5.6% | 383 | 7.4% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 45 |