⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
CHC
@ 6:40p
PIT
PNC Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.80×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.804
Temp
76.3°F
Wind
4.6 mph
out
Roof
open
Jameson Taillon
Jameson Taillon RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 72 🟡 B +1000 🌤️ WARM 13 0.278 89.8 14.2% 25.6% 397 14.0% 16.7% 26.4% 37
2 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 66 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 36 0.205 96.1 15.7% 30.8% 410 21.7% 8.3% 14.2% 28
3 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 72 0.176 86.3 8.3% 21.2% 388 9.5% 27.3% 18.6% 34
4 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 121 0.116 89.7 11.0% 12.0% 408 8.3% 9.1% 8.2% 18
5 Endy Rodríguez Endy Rodríguez 44 ⚪ D · · 125 0.179 89.4 10.6% 11.1% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.8% 13
6 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 166 0.124 90.5 10.3% 11.1% 415 8.3% 0.0% 7.2% 42
7 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 176 0.119 87.3 11.4% 18.8% 401 2.9% 0.0% 8.0% 35
8 Esmerlyn Valdez Esmerlyn Valdez 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 210 0.147 89.3 7.3% 14.3% 402 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 10
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 255 0.049 86.9 5.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 34
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 55 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 70 0.218 89.6 12.3% 30.8% 400 21.2% 9.1% 14.4% 21
2 Michael Busch Michael Busch 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 75 0.168 88.7 11.2% 14.3% 398 11.1% 23.1% 15.5% 32
3 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 115 0.203 91.3 10.4% 23.1% 390 6.5% 0.0% 12.4% 14
4 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 43 ⚪ D · · 137 0.135 91.2 8.9% 12.9% 386 11.3% 15.4% 9.4% 31
5 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 156 0.171 88.4 8.0% 24.0% 414 8.8% 0.0% 8.8% 32
6 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 173 0.147 89.7 8.8% 12.5% 398 13.2% 8.3% 6.6% 26
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 35 ⚪ D · · 184 0.139 89.0 7.3% 18.2% 390 5.8% 0.0% 6.7% 42
8 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 235 0.099 89.9 8.6% 0.0% 414 4.2% 0.0% 4.7% 24
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 240 0.119 85.2 3.7% 5.6% 383 7.5% 0.0% 5.2% 45
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