CHC
@
6:40p
PIT
Park Factor
0.80×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.804
Temp
76.3°F
Wind
4.6 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 72 | 🟡 B | +1000 | 🌤️ WARM | 13 | 0.278 | 89.8 | 14.2% | 25.6% | 397 | 14.0% | 16.7% | 26.4% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 36 | 0.205 | 96.1 | 15.7% | 30.8% | 410 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 72 | 0.176 | 86.3 | 8.3% | 21.2% | 388 | 9.5% | 27.3% | 18.6% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 121 | 0.116 | 89.7 | 11.0% | 12.0% | 408 | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Endy Rodríguez | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 125 | 0.179 | 89.4 | 10.6% | 11.1% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 166 | 0.124 | 90.5 | 10.3% | 11.1% | 415 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 42 |
| 7 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 176 | 0.119 | 87.3 | 11.4% | 18.8% | 401 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Esmerlyn Valdez | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 210 | 0.147 | 89.3 | 7.3% | 14.3% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 10 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 255 | 0.049 | 86.9 | 5.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 34 |
Bubba Chandler
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 70 | 0.218 | 89.6 | 12.3% | 30.8% | 400 | 21.2% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Michael Busch | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 75 | 0.168 | 88.7 | 11.2% | 14.3% | 398 | 11.1% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 115 | 0.203 | 91.3 | 10.4% | 23.1% | 390 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 14 |
| 4 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 137 | 0.135 | 91.2 | 8.9% | 12.9% | 386 | 11.3% | 15.4% | 9.4% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 156 | 0.171 | 88.4 | 8.0% | 24.0% | 414 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 36 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 173 | 0.147 | 89.7 | 8.8% | 12.5% | 398 | 13.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 184 | 0.139 | 89.0 | 7.3% | 18.2% | 390 | 5.8% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 42 |
| 8 |
|
Carson Kelly | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 235 | 0.099 | 89.9 | 8.6% | 0.0% | 414 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 240 | 0.119 | 85.2 | 3.7% | 5.6% | 383 | 7.5% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 45 |