CHC
@
6:40p
PIT
Park Factor
0.84×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.922
Temp
81.6°F
Wind
6.9 mph
cross
Roof
open
Jordan Wicks
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 52 | 0.278 | 89.8 | 4.8% | 27.0% | 397 | 14.3% | 16.7% | 21.2% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 91 | 0.205 | 96.1 | 5.3% | 32.0% | 410 | 22.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Henry Davis | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 133 | 0.163 | 90.6 | 4.0% | 23.1% | 397 | 9.1% | 25.0% | 14.5% | 19 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 136 | 0.176 | 86.3 | 2.8% | 18.8% | 388 | 7.3% | 18.2% | 10.1% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Esmerlyn Valdez | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 187 | 0.147 | 89.3 | 2.5% | 14.3% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 12 |
| 6 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 200 | 0.116 | 89.7 | 3.7% | 12.0% | 408 | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 225 | 0.124 | 90.5 | 3.5% | 11.8% | 415 | 8.5% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 41 |
| 8 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 233 | 0.119 | 87.3 | 3.9% | 20.0% | 401 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 36 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 249 | 0.049 | 86.9 | 1.9% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 33 |
Braxton Ashcraft
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 80 | 0.218 | 89.6 | 9.5% | 32.0% | 400 | 21.6% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Michael Busch | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 83 | 0.168 | 88.7 | 8.7% | 13.2% | 398 | 11.3% | 23.1% | 14.4% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 135 | 0.203 | 91.3 | 8.1% | 23.1% | 390 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 14 |
| 4 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 205 | 0.135 | 91.2 | 6.9% | 12.9% | 386 | 11.5% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Alex Bregman | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 211 | 0.139 | 89.0 | 5.7% | 19.4% | 390 | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 43 |
| 6 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 217 | 0.147 | 89.7 | 6.8% | 12.9% | 398 | 13.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 221 | 0.171 | 88.4 | 6.2% | 26.1% | 414 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Carson Kelly | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 242 | 0.099 | 89.9 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 414 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 4.9% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 15 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 253 | 0.119 | 85.2 | 2.9% | 5.7% | 383 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 44 |