⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
CHC
@ 6:40p
PIT
PNC Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.84×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.922
Temp
81.6°F
Wind
6.9 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 52 0.278 89.8 4.8% 27.0% 397 14.3% 16.7% 21.2% 36
2 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 46 ⚪ D · · 91 0.205 96.1 5.3% 32.0% 410 22.2% 8.3% 11.0% 28
3 Henry Davis Henry Davis 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 133 0.163 90.6 4.0% 23.1% 397 9.1% 25.0% 14.5% 19
4 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 136 0.176 86.3 2.8% 18.8% 388 7.3% 18.2% 10.1% 33
5 Esmerlyn Valdez Esmerlyn Valdez 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 187 0.147 89.3 2.5% 14.3% 402 0.0% 0.0% 11.7% 12
6 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 200 0.116 89.7 3.7% 12.0% 408 8.5% 9.1% 6.7% 18
7 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 225 0.124 90.5 3.5% 11.8% 415 8.5% 0.0% 5.6% 41
8 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 233 0.119 87.3 3.9% 20.0% 401 3.0% 0.0% 6.7% 36
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 18 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 249 0.049 86.9 1.9% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 33
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 48 ⚪ D · · 80 0.218 89.6 9.5% 32.0% 400 21.6% 9.1% 14.6% 19
2 Michael Busch Michael Busch 48 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 83 0.168 88.7 8.7% 13.2% 398 11.3% 23.1% 14.4% 31
3 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 135 0.203 91.3 8.1% 23.1% 390 6.7% 0.0% 11.7% 14
4 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 205 0.135 91.2 6.9% 12.9% 386 11.5% 15.4% 9.5% 29
5 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 29 ⚪ D · · 211 0.139 89.0 5.7% 19.4% 390 5.9% 7.7% 7.1% 43
6 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 217 0.147 89.7 6.8% 12.9% 398 13.5% 8.3% 6.9% 27
7 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 221 0.171 88.4 6.2% 26.1% 414 9.1% 0.0% 9.5% 31
8 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 242 0.099 89.9 6.7% 0.0% 414 4.3% 0.0% 4.9% 20
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 15 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 253 0.119 85.2 2.9% 5.7% 383 7.7% 0.0% 5.5% 44
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