1
HRs allowed
5.6%
HR rate (pool)
10.8%
Overall HR/FB
5.09
FIP
4.62
xFIP
+0.47
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
33
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 33th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
70.6%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 98.2 EV · 359 ft
max EV allowed 113.4
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Jordan Wicks.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
38.3%
85.0
23.4°
0
+2.0
Changeup Offspeed
28.3%
78.1
3.7°
0
-0.6
Slider Breaking
20.0%
81.6
4.5°
1
+5.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups18
HRs allowed (pool)1
Pool HR rate5.6%
Pool HR/game day0.5
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB10.8% 33
HR/9—
FIP5.09 82
xFIP4.62
FIP − xFIP+0.47 72
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed70.6%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 38.3% usage
+2.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.0 mph
Avg launch angle23.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches69
Changeup
Offspeed · 28.3% usage
-0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.1 mph
Avg launch angle3.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches51
Slider
Breaking · 20.0% usage
+5.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.6 mph
Avg launch angle4.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches36
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Jordan Wicks.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
1 allowed · scored pool
avg 98.2 EV · 359 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 2 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-05-31
9
0
104.4
2026-05-26
9
1
113.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Jordan Wicks isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.