CHC
@
7:15p
ATL
Park Factor
1.06×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · strong crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.166
Temp
72.6°F
Wind
15.0 mph
cross
Roof
open
Ben Brown
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 86 | 🟢 A | · | · | 6 | 0.344 | 93.4 | 18.5% | 44.4% | 413 | 30.0% | 36.4% | 31.9% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 74 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 11 | 0.225 | 92.1 | 15.9% | 27.3% | 400 | 25.0% | 27.3% | 23.3% | 31 |
| 3 | Michael Harris II | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +900 | 🌧️ COOL | 36 | 0.193 | 94.6 | 16.5% | 28.6% | 390 | 15.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 26 | |
| 4 |
|
Austin Riley | 55 | 🟠 C | +950 | 🔥 HOT | 50 | 0.154 | 90.7 | 10.3% | 17.2% | 405 | 10.0% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 62 | 0.185 | 90.2 | 8.3% | 16.7% | 398 | 8.6% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 81 | 0.193 | 86.1 | 4.1% | 18.5% | 386 | 17.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 107 | 0.085 | 90.0 | 4.6% | 15.0% | 380 | 4.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 121 | 0.151 | 87.3 | 5.6% | 13.6% | 389 | 4.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 38 |
| 9 |
|
Ha-Seong Kim | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 141 | 0.098 | 85.3 | 4.8% | 7.7% | 372 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 5 |
Chris Sale
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 81 | 🟢 A | · | 🔥 HOT | 8 | 0.232 | 89.6 | 18.3% | 21.4% | 397 | 23.8% | 16.7% | 30.8% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 47 | 0.226 | 89.0 | 9.2% | 20.0% | 414 | 13.0% | 0.0% | 24.8% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 74 | 0.166 | 90.4 | 9.3% | 27.3% | 393 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 14.4% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Michael Busch | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.125 | 87.9 | 8.8% | 11.1% | 408 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 42 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 84 | 0.133 | 91.0 | 8.0% | 11.1% | 383 | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Miguel Amaya | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 86 | 0.123 | 86.0 | 7.1% | 16.7% | 390 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 11.6% | 5 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Shaw | 36 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 106 | 0.175 | 86.9 | 5.6% | 22.2% | 357 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 11 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Bregman | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 132 | 0.113 | 89.3 | 5.9% | 14.3% | 390 | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 136 | 0.142 | 85.8 | 1.9% | 25.0% | 383 | 9.5% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 42 |