⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
CHC
@ 7:15p
ATL
Truist Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.06×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · strong crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.166
Temp
72.6°F
Wind
15.0 mph
cross
Roof
open
Ben Brown
Ben Brown RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 86 🟢 A · · 6 0.344 93.4 18.5% 44.4% 413 30.0% 36.4% 31.9% 34
2 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 74 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 11 0.225 92.1 15.9% 27.3% 400 25.0% 27.3% 23.3% 31
3 Michael Harris II 60 🔵 C+ +900 🌧️ COOL 36 0.193 94.6 16.5% 28.6% 390 15.8% 10.0% 11.8% 26
4 Austin Riley Austin Riley 55 🟠 C +950 🔥 HOT 50 0.154 90.7 10.3% 17.2% 405 10.0% 18.2% 16.4% 29
5 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 62 0.185 90.2 8.3% 16.7% 398 8.6% 0.0% 9.6% 15
6 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 43 ⚪ D · · 81 0.193 86.1 4.1% 18.5% 386 17.5% 9.1% 10.5% 39
7 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 107 0.085 90.0 4.6% 15.0% 380 4.2% 10.0% 6.6% 23
8 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 121 0.151 87.3 5.6% 13.6% 389 4.0% 9.1% 8.8% 38
9 Ha-Seong Kim Ha-Seong Kim 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 141 0.098 85.3 4.8% 7.7% 372 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 5
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 81 🟢 A · 🔥 HOT 8 0.232 89.6 18.3% 21.4% 397 23.8% 16.7% 30.8% 19
2 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 56 🟠 C · · 47 0.226 89.0 9.2% 20.0% 414 13.0% 0.0% 24.8% 28
3 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 74 0.166 90.4 9.3% 27.3% 393 14.3% 0.0% 14.4% 35
4 Michael Busch Michael Busch 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 76 0.125 87.9 8.8% 11.1% 408 7.1% 8.3% 8.0% 29
5 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 42 ⚪ D +850 · 84 0.133 91.0 8.0% 11.1% 383 9.8% 8.3% 8.1% 34
6 Miguel Amaya Miguel Amaya 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 86 0.123 86.0 7.1% 16.7% 390 33.3% 0.0% 11.6% 5
7 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 106 0.175 86.9 5.6% 22.2% 357 10.8% 0.0% 13.4% 11
8 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 132 0.113 89.3 5.9% 14.3% 390 7.5% 8.3% 9.1% 32
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 136 0.142 85.8 1.9% 25.0% 383 9.5% 0.0% 11.9% 42
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