⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
BOS
@ 3:07p
TOR
Rogers Centre · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.04×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.043
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 77 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 20 0.204 91.5 14.3% 33.3% 398 20.0% 27.3% 29.3% 30
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 60 🔵 C+ · · 58 0.180 90.4 12.0% 0.0% 380 16.0% 9.1% 8.8% 38
3 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 59 0.125 93.2 7.3% 15.4% 383 22.2% 25.0% 15.1% 18
4 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 131 0.123 87.9 11.8% 5.6% 385 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 29
5 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 134 0.121 88.0 6.7% 7.7% 337 4.2% 0.0% 8.1% 31
6 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 148 0.088 92.7 10.9% 7.1% 391 4.5% 0.0% 8.6% 19
7 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 156 0.081 89.6 12.1% 0.0% 424 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 33
8 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 171 0.095 87.0 1.5% 0.0% · 4.0% 9.1% 7.2% 34
9 Trevor Story Trevor Story 36 ⚪ D · · 179 0.093 89.2 4.2% 0.0% 407 8.0% 9.1% 6.5% 30
Brayan Bello
Brayan Bello RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 68 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 34 0.193 93.1 9.8% 31.2% 415 20.0% 16.7% 31.0% 30
2 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 55 🟠 C · · 73 0.165 91.8 12.3% 33.3% 414 0.0% 0.0% 22.1% 0
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 52 🟠 C · · 85 0.122 92.4 12.5% 11.1% 434 7.1% 8.3% 7.9% 39
4 George Springer George Springer 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 86 0.185 88.9 10.0% 33.3% 389 8.3% 0.0% 21.6% 25
5 Davis Schneider Davis Schneider 48 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 110 0.109 91.8 17.4% 16.7% 366 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 13
6 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 44 ⚪ D · · 132 0.152 85.2 6.1% 12.5% 388 6.2% 0.0% 14.3% 24
7 Andrés Giménez Andrés Giménez 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 161 0.175 87.0 3.8% 15.0% 386 0.0% 0.0% 17.2% 33
8 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 196 0.077 86.9 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 23
9 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 31 ⚪ D · · 205 0.110 87.2 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 46
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