BOS
@
3:07p
TOR
Park Factor
1.04×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.043
Wind
0 mph
dome
Eric Lauer
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 77 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 20 | 0.204 | 91.5 | 14.3% | 33.3% | 398 | 20.0% | 27.3% | 29.3% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 58 | 0.180 | 90.4 | 12.0% | 0.0% | 380 | 16.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 59 | 0.125 | 93.2 | 7.3% | 15.4% | 383 | 22.2% | 25.0% | 15.1% | 18 |
| 4 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 131 | 0.123 | 87.9 | 11.8% | 5.6% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 134 | 0.121 | 88.0 | 6.7% | 7.7% | 337 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
Roman Anthony | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 148 | 0.088 | 92.7 | 10.9% | 7.1% | 391 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Jarren Duran | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 156 | 0.081 | 89.6 | 12.1% | 0.0% | 424 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 171 | 0.095 | 87.0 | 1.5% | 0.0% | · | 4.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Trevor Story | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 179 | 0.093 | 89.2 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 407 | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 30 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jesús Sánchez | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 34 | 0.193 | 93.1 | 9.8% | 31.2% | 415 | 20.0% | 16.7% | 31.0% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Kazuma Okamoto | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 73 | 0.165 | 91.8 | 12.3% | 33.3% | 414 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.1% | 0 |
| 3 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 85 | 0.122 | 92.4 | 12.5% | 11.1% | 434 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
George Springer | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 86 | 0.185 | 88.9 | 10.0% | 33.3% | 389 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 21.6% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Davis Schneider | 48 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 110 | 0.109 | 91.8 | 17.4% | 16.7% | 366 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Daulton Varsho | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 132 | 0.152 | 85.2 | 6.1% | 12.5% | 388 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Andrés Giménez | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 161 | 0.175 | 87.0 | 3.8% | 15.0% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.2% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Nathan Lukes | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 196 | 0.077 | 86.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Ernie Clement | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 205 | 0.110 | 87.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 46 |