BOS
@
7:40p
KC
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cool air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.081
Temp
61.7°F
Wind
15.0 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Bailey Falter
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 37 | 0.201 | 90.8 | 16.4% | 30.8% | 413 | 20.9% | 23.1% | 18.5% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 48 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 81 | 0.169 | 90.2 | 10.8% | 11.1% | 391 | 14.0% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 100 | 0.149 | 86.7 | 8.0% | 14.3% | 364 | 9.5% | 23.1% | 10.8% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Jarren Duran | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 183 | 0.122 | 89.8 | 8.4% | 0.0% | 397 | 7.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Andruw Monasterio | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 187 | 0.138 | 89.1 | 6.5% | 12.5% | 388 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 208 | 0.111 | 91.2 | 7.9% | 11.1% | 386 | 8.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 11 |
| 7 |
|
Nick Sogard | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 209 | 0.083 | 89.3 | 5.0% | 9.1% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 6 |
| 8 |
|
Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 251 | 0.000 | 81.3 | 2.9% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 6 |
| 9 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 9 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 255 | 0.076 | 84.8 | 0.9% | 0.0% | 386 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 4.2% | 23 |
Ranger Suarez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 59 | 🟠 C | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 46 | 0.200 | 93.5 | 12.3% | 12.5% | 404 | 13.6% | 33.3% | 18.7% | 42 | |
| 2 |
|
Jac Caglianone | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 55 | 0.166 | 94.4 | 17.9% | 20.0% | 408 | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Salvador Perez | 40 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 127 | 0.142 | 88.2 | 8.6% | 20.0% | 394 | 15.9% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Carter Jensen | 36 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 145 | 0.177 | 90.5 | 9.9% | 0.0% | 387 | 13.8% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Nick Loftin | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 150 | 0.133 | 86.8 | 6.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Vinnie Pasquantino | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 156 | 0.150 | 88.9 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 398 | 11.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 42 |
| 7 |
|
Starling Marte | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 199 | 0.077 | 90.6 | 9.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 7 |
| 8 |
|
Maikel Garcia | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 204 | 0.144 | 90.5 | 5.1% | 28.6% | 398 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 10.4% | 48 |
| 9 |
|
Lane Thomas | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 245 | 0.053 | 85.2 | 3.3% | 10.0% | 407 | 9.5% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 11 |