.png&width=300)
BOS
@
—
HOU
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · steady crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.990
Temp
72.8°F
Wind
8.1 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Mike Burrows
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 23 | 0.223 | 90.8 | 11.5% | 15.2% | 400 | 40.0% | 40.0% | 13.9% | 17 |
| 2 |
|
Alex Bregman | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 29 | 0.189 | 90.1 | 8.4% | 11.2% | 386 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 15 |
| 3 |
|
Trevor Story | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 42 | 0.170 | 91.4 | 10.3% | 15.2% | 388 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 20 |
| 4 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela ⚡ | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.165 | 88.3 | 10.0% | 9.3% | 391 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 10.8% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
Roman Anthony | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 70 | 0.171 | 94.5 | 12.9% | 14.8% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.7% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Jarren Duran | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 92 | 0.185 | 91.8 | 10.2% | 9.0% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Carlos Narvaez | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 140 | 0.179 | 91.1 | 9.9% | 13.6% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.1% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Romy Gonzalez | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 141 | 0.178 | 93.3 | 11.7% | 12.7% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.7% | 19 |
| 9 |
|
Abraham Toro | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 199 | 0.131 | 86.3 | 7.0% | 8.5% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.4% | 6 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jose Altuve | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 102 | 0.177 | 85.1 | 6.7% | 13.6% | 384 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 15 |
| 2 |
|
Cam Smith | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 108 | 0.122 | 87.9 | 7.1% | 9.6% | 395 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 16 |
| 3 |
|
Victor Caratini | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 142 | 0.145 | 88.7 | 7.5% | 11.0% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 12 |
| 4 |
|
Christian Walker | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 157 | 0.183 | 90.9 | 9.7% | 14.7% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.2% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremy Pena | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 181 | 0.172 | 88.9 | 7.7% | 12.8% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.3% | 5 |
| 6 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 184 | 0.204 | 87.4 | 6.8% | 14.0% | 375 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.9% | 12 |
| 7 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 195 | 0.161 | 89.9 | 8.4% | 12.7% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.2% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Jake Meyers | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 213 | 0.082 | 88.1 | 6.0% | 3.8% | 378 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 13 |
| 9 |
|
Mauricio Dubon | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 225 | 0.114 | 84.5 | 3.0% | 5.5% | 384 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 20 |