BOS
@
6:40p
DET
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.130
Temp
58.8°F
Wind
12.7 mph
out
Roof
open
Jovani Morán
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 28 | 0.229 | 91.5 | · | 0.0% | 404 | 17.6% | 50.0% | 14.9% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 42 | 0.282 | 92.0 | · | 28.6% | 382 | 15.6% | 9.1% | 25.6% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 97 | 0.230 | 90.8 | · | 25.0% | 415 | 16.1% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Javier Báez | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 123 | 0.141 | 84.7 | · | 16.7% | 379 | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 16 |
| 5 |
|
Riley Greene | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 132 | 0.161 | 90.0 | · | 12.0% | 409 | 8.8% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Kevin McGonigle | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 167 | 0.191 | 88.4 | · | 0.0% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 41 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Vierling | 21 | ⚪ D | · | · | 208 | 0.140 | 87.8 | · | 0.0% | 350 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 228 | 0.077 | 83.0 | · | 0.0% | 376 | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 28 |
| 9 |
|
Colt Keith | 10 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 253 | 0.084 | 93.0 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 28 |
Framber Valdez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 92 | 0.204 | 92.1 | · | 33.3% | 403 | 20.0% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 143 | 0.125 | 92.6 | · | 15.4% | 386 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 10.1% | 18 |
| 3 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 172 | 0.180 | 89.8 | · | 0.0% | 380 | 13.3% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Jarren Duran | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 189 | 0.081 | 90.0 | · | 0.0% | 402 | 10.0% | 25.0% | 5.7% | 40 |
| 5 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 230 | 0.123 | 88.4 | · | 5.6% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 233 | 0.121 | 88.2 | · | 0.0% | 337 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Roman Anthony | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 246 | 0.088 | 92.5 | · | 7.1% | 391 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 4.2% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Trevor Story | 10 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 254 | 0.093 | 88.9 | · | 0.0% | 407 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 4.3% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 10 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 255 | 0.095 | 85.1 | · | 0.0% | 386 | 3.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 35 |