⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
BOS
@ 6:40p
DET
Comerica Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.130
Temp
58.8°F
Wind
12.7 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 51 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 28 0.229 91.5 · 0.0% 404 17.6% 50.0% 14.9% 31
2 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 42 0.282 92.0 · 28.6% 382 15.6% 9.1% 25.6% 25
3 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 97 0.230 90.8 · 25.0% 415 16.1% 10.0% 14.2% 30
4 Javier Báez Javier Báez 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 123 0.141 84.7 · 16.7% 379 11.1% 10.0% 9.7% 16
5 Riley Greene Riley Greene 31 ⚪ D · · 132 0.161 90.0 · 12.0% 409 8.8% 16.7% 13.8% 29
6 Kevin McGonigle Kevin McGonigle 27 ⚪ D · · 167 0.191 88.4 · 0.0% 407 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 41
7 Matt Vierling Matt Vierling 21 ⚪ D · · 208 0.140 87.8 · 0.0% 350 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 30
8 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 17 ⚪ D · · 228 0.077 83.0 · 0.0% 376 5.9% 8.3% 5.1% 28
9 Colt Keith Colt Keith 10 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 253 0.084 93.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 28
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 92 0.204 92.1 · 33.3% 403 20.0% 25.0% 19.5% 35
2 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 143 0.125 92.6 · 15.4% 386 14.3% 20.0% 10.1% 18
3 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 172 0.180 89.8 · 0.0% 380 13.3% 8.3% 4.3% 39
4 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 189 0.081 90.0 · 0.0% 402 10.0% 25.0% 5.7% 40
5 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 17 ⚪ D · · 230 0.123 88.4 · 5.6% 385 0.0% 0.0% 4.0% 30
6 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 233 0.121 88.2 · 0.0% 337 3.4% 0.0% 4.7% 36
7 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 246 0.088 92.5 · 7.1% 391 3.7% 0.0% 4.2% 23
8 Trevor Story Trevor Story 10 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 254 0.093 88.9 · 0.0% 407 6.7% 0.0% 4.3% 32
9 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 10 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 255 0.095 85.1 · 0.0% 386 3.3% 8.3% 4.8% 35
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